#11Parker Kingston

WR·BYU·2025

Parker Kingston is a Versatile WR for BYU. Parker's 2025 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 126 plays — a elite rate for the WR.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.47
Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
Total EPA (value)0.45
Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Parker Kingston's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Rushing

123 Rush yards3 Rush TD26 Carries4.7 Yards/carry

Receiving

66 Receptions924 Rec yards5 Rec TD14.0 Yards/rec

Returns

17 Punt returns230 PR yards1 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

Efficiency100
Volume39
Explosiveness47
Consistency66
Pass-Down92

Player type

Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency66th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸7 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.09 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.44 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs West Virginia (SP+ -7).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Shai Werts	Georgia Southern	2020	128	0.310	1.0	39.7
Zach Abey	Navy	2016	70	0.370	0.8	25.9
Eli Heidenreich	Navy	2024	66	0.340	0.7	22.4
Keytaon Thompson	Mississippi State	2017	70	0.460	1.2	32.2
Chris Tyree	Notre Dame	2020	76	0.310	0.6	23.6

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
1	vsPortland State	W69-0	—	1	5	5.0	0	5	0.06
2	vsStanford	W27-3	-11.8	3	7	2.3	0	6	-0.44
4	@East Carolina	W34-13	8.0	5	55	11.0	0	19	0.20
5	@Colorado	W24-21	-8.3	5	38	7.6	0	15	0.24
6	vsWest Virginia	W38-24	-6.8	4	111	27.8	1	54	1.44
7	@Arizona	W33-27	12.0	5	117	23.4	1	75	0.69
8	vsUtah	W24-21	22.2	4	50	12.5	0	17	0.61
9	@Iowa State	W41-27	9.9	7	133	19.0	2	45	0.67
11	@Texas Tech	L7-29	27.6	5	43	8.6	0	21	-0.25
12	vsTCU	W44-13	8.3	5	80	16.0	0	30	0.82
13	@Cincinnati	W26-14	4.5	7	39	5.6	0	10	0.20
14	vsUCF	W41-21	-1.2	6	126	21.0	1	46	0.98
15	vsTexas Tech	L7-34	27.6	4	44	11.0	0	21	0.51
20	vsGeorgia Tech	W25-21	9.3	5	76	15.2	0	28	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

13.7%

Passing plays

25.2%

Rushing plays

5.0%

Standard downs

13.2%

Passing downs

14.8%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.34
Passing downs: 0.59
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.50 / 0.06

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).