#83Nate Roberts

TE·Ohio State·2025

Nate Roberts is a Versatile TE for Ohio State.

What projects, and what doesn't · TEs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.42
Beats guessing the TE average by 9%. n=2,225 TE seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.04
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=2,016 TE seasons
Total EPA (value)0.46
Beats guessing the TE average by 13%. n=2,016 TE seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Nate Roberts's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Receiving

4 Receptions30 Rec yards0 Rec TD7.5 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs TE peers

Efficiency0
Volume7
Explosiveness3
Consistency69
Pass-Down50

Player type

Versatile TE

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency69th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs TE peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸Peak game: 1.79 EPA/play in Wk 12 vs UCLA (SP+ -9).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Contributor

Rotational contributor. Smaller collective or local deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · TE · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

Player	Team	Yr	Plays	WEPA/play	Line val	Total EPA
Robby Preckel	Northwestern	2025	42	0.060	0.1	2.5
A.J. Doyle	Massachusetts	2013	53	0.040	0.0	2.1
Blake Bell	Oklahoma	2013	63	0.070	0.1	4.4
Kaden Feagin	Illinois	2024	52	0.150	0.0	7.8
Jaheim Bell	South Carolina	2022	73	0.110	0.0	8.0

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Rec	Rec Yds	Avg	Rec TD	Long	EPA/play
7	@Illinois	W34-16	12.9	—	—	—	—	—	1.26
11	@Purdue	W34-10	-6.1	2	6	3.0	0	4	-0.39
12	vsUCLA	W48-10	-8.7	2	24	12.0	0	15	1.79

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

2.5%

Passing plays

4.0%

Rushing plays

1.4%

Standard downs

2.4%

Passing downs

3.2%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.02
Passing downs: —
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.11 / 0.15

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).