Skip to content
Luke Floriea
Luke Floriea

Luke Floriea

WR·Kent State·2024

Luke Floriea is a Versatile WR for Kent State. Luke's 2024 season produced 58.4 total EPA across 40 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Luke Floriea's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
44 Receptions688 Rec yards7 Rec TD15.6 Yards/rec
Returns
6 Kick returns107 KR yards0 KR TD4 Punt returns45 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume23
  • Explosiveness58
  • Consistency75
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Versatile WR

Balanced profile without a single dominant trait — contributes across multiple dimensions.

Balanced usageMulti-role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency75th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • ▸Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • ▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • ▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • ▸6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.59 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 2.49 EPA/play in Wk 7 vs Ball State (SP+ -20).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+2.490−2.49Wk 1 vs Pittsburgh: +2.33 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs St. Francis (PA): +1.58 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs Tennessee: -0.17 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Penn State: +0.10 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Eastern Michigan: +2.12 EPA/play5Wk 7 vs Ball State: +2.49 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Bowling Green: +1.71 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Western Michigan: +1.49 EPA/play9Wk 11 vs Ohio: +0.34 EPA/play11Wk 13 vs Akron: +0.36 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Buffalo: +0.18 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1@PittsburghL24-554.9610417.31412.33
2vsSt. Francis (PA)L17-23—69215.31261.58
3@TennesseeL0-7122.03134.308-0.17
4@Penn StateL0-5624.6155.0050.10
5vsEastern MichiganL33-52-13.337725.71432.12
7vsBall StateL35-37-19.8613021.71532.49
8@Bowling GreenL6-27-1.823517.50201.71
9@Western MichiganL21-52-10.234314.31191.49
11vsOhioL0-412.33165.30160.34
12@Miami (OH)L7-341.34328.0017—
13vsAkronL17-38-17.9310334.31800.36
14@BuffaloL7-43-4.04389.51270.18

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
8.0%
Passing plays
16.3%
Rushing plays
0.3%
Standard downs
8.2%
Passing downs
7.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
1.24
Passing downs
1.76
Pass / Rush EPA
1.46 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.