#9Landon Graves

QB·UL Monroe·2025

Landon Graves is a Clutch Passer for UL Monroe. Landon's 2025 season produced 3.0 total EPA across 30 plays.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Landon Graves's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2025 Production

Passing

19/40 Comp/Att185 Pass yards2 Pass TD2 INT47.5% Comp %

Rushing

70 Rush yards0 Rush TD14 Carries5.0 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume37
Dual-Threat0
Consistency0
Clutch100

Player type

Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.52 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.02 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Northwestern (SP+ 6).

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsSt. Francis (PA)	W29-0	—	2/3	28	1	0	99.8	13	0	0.98
2	@Alabama	L0-73	14.8	2/4	27	0	0	91.6	—	—	0.74
4	@UTEP	W31-25	-17.5	—	—	—	—	—	0	0	-3.10
6	@Northwestern	L7-42	5.8	1/2	9	0	0	99.1	26	0	1.02
8	vsTroy	L14-37	-4.8	1/4	7	0	0	1.1	7	0	-0.51
9	@Southern Miss	L21-49	-7.1	12/26	103	1	2	39.8	24	0	0.15
10	vsOld Dominion	L6-31	5.9	1/1	11	0	0	88.5	—	—	0.55

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

12.8%

Passing plays

23.0%

Rushing plays

5.6%

Standard downs

12.2%

Passing downs

13.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: -0.33
Passing downs: 0.53
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.41 / -0.88

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).