#5Kobe Lewis

RB·Florida Atlantic·2023

Kobe Lewis is a Pass-Catching Back for Florida Atlantic. Kobe's 2023 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 92 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Kobe Lewis's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Rushing

406 Rush yards3 Rush TD84 Carries4.8 Yards/carry

Receiving

18 Receptions100 Rec yards0 Rec TD5.6 Yards/rec

Returns

4 Kick returns91 KR yards0 KR TD

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs RB peers

Efficiency0
Volume43
Explosiveness36
Consistency22
Receiving77

Player type

Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency22th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸3 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.23 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.83 EPA/play in Wk 6 vs Tulsa (SP+ -14).

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
2	vsOhio	L10-17	-1.6	3	1	0.3	0	—	—	—	-0.30
3	@Clemson	L14-48	10.5	14	49	3.5	0	3	14	0	0.06
4	@Illinois	L17-23	-2.5	3	3	1.0	0	—	—	—	0.32
6	vsTulsa	W20-17	-13.7	6	87	14.5	0	1	3	0	0.83
7	@South Florida	W56-14	-6.6	11	70	6.4	1	3	20	0	0.48
8	vsUTSA	L10-36	5.4	3	1	0.3	0	1	6	0	-0.22
9	@Charlotte	W38-16	-21.4	5	13	2.6	0	2	8	0	-0.00
10	@UAB	L42-45	-14.7	16	80	5.0	1	—	—	—	-0.01
11	vsEast Carolina	L7-22	-12.8	8	6	0.8	0	2	14	0	-0.19
12	vsTulane	L8-24	2.8	8	14	1.8	0	4	34	0	-0.02
13	@Rice	L21-24	-10.2	7	82	11.7	1	2	1	0	0.48

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

15.2%

Passing plays

6.4%

Rushing plays

27.1%

Standard downs

17.2%

Passing downs

11.6%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.18
Passing downs: -0.25
Pass / Rush EPA: -0.09 / 0.11

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).