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Keyon Mozee
Keyon Mozee

#3Keyon Mozee

RB·Miami (OH)·2024

Keyon Mozee is a Committee Back for Miami (OH). Keyon's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 158 plays — a developing rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.52
    Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.41
    Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Keyon Mozee's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Rushing
1098 Rush yards4 Rush TD178 Carries6.2 Yards/carry
Receiving
1 Receptions2 Rec yards0 Rec TD2.0 Yards/rec

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume61
  • Explosiveness64
  • Consistency0
  • Receiving4
Player type
Committee Back

Part of a rotation — contributes in a complementary role and keeps the featured back fresh.

Rotational roleSituational use
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • ▸Below-average efficiency vs RB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Peak game: 0.74 EPA/play in Wk 5 vs Massachusetts (SP+ -22).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.740−0.74Wk 1 vs Northwestern: -0.41 EPA/play1Wk 3 vs Cincinnati: -0.25 EPA/play3Wk 4 vs Notre Dame: +0.38 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Massachusetts: +0.74 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Toledo: -0.05 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Eastern Michigan: +0.08 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Ohio: +0.07 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Central Michigan: +0.34 EPA/play9Wk 11 vs Ball State: -0.07 EPA/play11Wk 13 vs Northern Illinois: +0.17 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Bowling Green: +0.20 EPA/play14Wk 15 vs Ohio: -0.31 EPA/play15
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+CarRush YdsAvgRush TDRecRec YdsRec TDEPA/play
1vsNorthwesternL6-13-8.26111.80———-0.41
3vsCincinnatiL16-27-0.17131.90———-0.25
4@Notre DameL3-2823.96366.00———0.38
5vsMassachusettsW23-20-21.9911412.71———0.74
6@ToledoL20-30-2.511403.60———-0.05
7@Eastern MichiganW38-14-13.3161006.30———0.08
8vsOhioW30-202.3161116.91———0.07
9vsCentral MichiganW46-7-15.8151208.00———0.34
11@Ball StateW27-21-19.8221054.80———-0.07
12vsKent StateW34-7-33.01919610.31————
13vsNorthern IllinoisW20-9-3.514916.50———0.17
14@Bowling GreenW28-12-1.8181086.01———0.20
15vsOhioL3-382.311282.50120-0.31
20vsColorado StateW43-17-5.78253.10————

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
21.5%
Passing plays
0.5%
Rushing plays
46.0%
Standard downs
23.8%
Passing downs
17.0%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
-0.01
Passing downs
0.29
Pass / Rush EPA
-0.42 / 0.08

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.