#8Kevin Davis

RB·Miami (OH)·2024

Kevin Davis is a Pass-Catching Back for Miami (OH). Kevin's 2024 season ranks in the 100th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 66 plays — a elite rate for the RB.

What projects, and what doesn't · RBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.52
Beats guessing the RB average by 18%. n=4,219 RB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.10
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=3,575 RB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.41
Beats guessing the RB average by 9%. n=3,575 RB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Kevin Davis's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Rushing

331 Rush yards4 Rush TD50 Carries6.6 Yards/carry

Receiving

29 Receptions234 Rec yards2 Rec TD8.1 Yards/rec

Returns

25 Kick returns501 KR yards0 KR TD4 Punt returns18 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs RB peers

Efficiency100
Volume28
Explosiveness72
Consistency64
Receiving100

Player type

Pass-Catching Back

Third-down weapon out of the backfield. Routes, hands, and separation in coverage define this role as much as rushing.

3rd-down backReceiving threatPass protection

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite

Game-to-game consistency64th %ile · average

Key findings

▸Top-10% efficiency among RBs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
▸Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
▸5 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.14 from the first to second half of the season.
▸Peak game: 1.22 EPA/play in Wk 11 vs Ball State (SP+ -20).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	Car	Rush Yds	Avg	Rush TD	Rec	Rec Yds	Rec TD	EPA/play
1	vsNorthwestern	L6-13	-8.2	1	4	4.0	0	4	32	0	0.20
3	vsCincinnati	L16-27	-0.1	3	14	4.7	0	5	56	0	0.77
4	@Notre Dame	L3-28	23.9	2	29	14.5	0	2	5	0	0.58
5	vsMassachusetts	W23-20	-21.9	11	7	0.6	0	5	42	0	0.21
6	@Toledo	L20-30	-2.5	1	1	1.0	0	1	9	1	0.83
7	@Eastern Michigan	W38-14	-13.3	3	3	1.0	0	1	11	0	-0.22
8	vsOhio	W30-20	2.3	5	8	1.6	0	—	—	—	-0.08
9	vsCentral Michigan	W46-7	-15.8	4	70	17.5	1	1	8	0	0.97
11	@Ball State	W27-21	-19.8	—	—	—	—	3	12	1	1.22
12	vsKent State	W34-7	-33.0	5	31	6.2	1	2	18	0	—
13	vsNorthern Illinois	W20-9	-3.5	2	6	3.0	0	3	25	0	0.37
14	@Bowling Green	W28-12	-1.8	2	4	2.0	0	—	—	—	-0.22
15	vsOhio	L3-38	2.3	2	6	3.0	0	—	—	—	0.00
20	vsColorado State	W43-17	-5.7	9	148	16.4	2	2	16	0	—

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

9.8%

Passing plays

7.7%

Rushing plays

12.3%

Standard downs

10.4%

Passing downs

8.5%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.44
Passing downs: 0.74
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.70 / 0.40

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).