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Hank Bachmeier

#9Hank Bachmeier

Hank Bachmeier is a Volume Passer for Louisiana Tech. Hank's 2023 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 290 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Hank Bachmeier's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Passing
182/269 Comp/Att2058 Pass yards10 Pass TD5 INT67.7% Comp %
Rushing
47 Rush yards2 Rush TD58 Carries0.8 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume100
  • Dual-Threat33
  • Consistency79
  • Clutch54
Player type
Volume Passer

High-rep offense that leans on this QB's arm — value comes through cumulative production across a high number of plays.

High play countFranchise-volume role
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency79th %ile · above avg
Key findings
  • Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • Strong second-half surge — EPA/play improved 0.09 from the first to second half of the season.

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.3400.34Wk 1 vs SMU: +0.04 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Northwestern State: +0.01 EPA/play2Wk 3 vs North Texas: +0.34 EPA/play3Wk 7 vs Middle Tennessee: +0.27 EPA/play7Wk 9 vs New Mexico State: +0.26 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Liberty: +0.25 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Sam Houston: +0.33 EPA/play11Wk 12 vs Jacksonville State: +0.03 EPA/play12
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
0vsFlorida InternationalW22-17-21.234/443331150.6-10
1@SMUL14-3810.121/332411115.4-900.04
2vsNorthwestern StateW51-219/181101029.6200.01
3vsNorth TexasL37-40-6.76/11722019.8-300.34
7@Middle TennesseeL23-31-9.516/241781045.9-1400.27
9vsNew Mexico StateL24-27-1.820/272381036.51820.26
10@LibertyL30-568.023/333042064.43200.25
11vsSam HoustonL27-42-13.829/423840243.6200.33
12@Jacksonville StateL17-56-1.624/371981141.82000.03

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
52.5%
Passing plays
84.5%
Rushing plays
15.2%
Standard downs
47.7%
Passing downs
62.8%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
0.21
Passing downs
0.28
Pass / Rush EPA
0.27 / 0.06

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+0.76+0.14
EPA per play · 2021 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.