#2Grant Wilson

QB·Old Dominion·2024

Grant Wilson is a Dual-Threat QB for Old Dominion. Grant's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 100 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Grant Wilson's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

48/86 Comp/Att507 Pass yards4 Pass TD3 INT55.8% Comp %

Rushing

47 Rush yards1 Rush TD28 Carries1.7 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency91
Clutch0

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency91th %ile · elite

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸Peak game: 0.35 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs South Carolina (SP+ 17).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Star

Top-10 nationally. Multiple mid-to-large collective deals expected.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	@South Carolina	L19-23	16.9	22/38	197	1	2	49.9	16	1	0.35
2	vsEast Carolina	L14-20	-1.0	20/34	192	1	1	33.1	3	0	0.16
5	@Bowling Green	W30-27	-1.8	6/14	118	2	0	71.9	28	0	0.27

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

48.8%

Passing plays

77.4%

Rushing plays

18.4%

Standard downs

45.0%

Passing downs

55.4%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.33
Passing downs: 0.13
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.17 / 0.60

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).