#10Dylan Rizk

QB·UCF·2024

Dylan Rizk is a Volume Passer for UCF. Dylan's 2024 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 127 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Dylan Rizk's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Passing

73/118 Comp/Att915 Pass yards5 Pass TD2 INT61.9% Comp %

Rushing

43 Rush yards0 Rush TD29 Carries1.5 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs QB peers

Efficiency0
Volume98
Dual-Threat35
Consistency0
Clutch50

Player type

Volume Passer

High-rep offense that leans on this QB's arm — value comes through cumulative production across a high number of plays.

High play countFranchise-volume role

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg

Key findings

▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.13 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
▸Peak game: 0.62 EPA/play in Wk 9 vs BYU (SP+ 15).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗

Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	EPA/play
2	vsSam Houston	W45-14	-6.9	1/1	0	0	0	11.0	3	-0.69
9	vsBYU	L24-37	15.3	6/10	102	1	0	96.4	31	0.62
10	vsArizona	W56-12	-2.8	20/25	294	3	0	89.4	55	0.61
11	@Arizona State	L31-35	9.4	24/34	229	0	1	71.1	-14	0.30
13	@West Virginia	L21-31	2.1	11/21	172	1	0	8.5	-8	0.25
14	vsUtah	L14-28	7.7	11/27	118	0	1	17.9	-24	-0.41

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

34.4%

Passing plays

69.0%

Rushing plays

8.7%

Standard downs

26.6%

Passing downs

53.9%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.17
Passing downs: 0.21
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.21 / 0.08

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).