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Christian Veilleux
Christian Veilleux

#11Christian Veilleux

QB·Pittsburgh·2023

Christian Veilleux is a Clutch Passer for Pittsburgh. Christian's 2023 season ranks in the 0th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 185 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.46
    Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.51
    Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Christian Veilleux's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2023 Production

Passing
94/184 Comp/Att1179 Pass yards7 Pass TD8 INT51.1% Comp %
Rushing
-14 Rush yards0 Rush TD24 Carries-0.6 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2023 · vs QB peers

  • Efficiency0
  • Volume100
  • Dual-Threat0
  • Consistency0
  • Clutch100
Player type
Clutch Passer

Elevates on passing downs — 3rd-and-medium, two-minute drills, and pressure situations are where this QB is best.

3rd-down precisionLate-game valueHigh passing-down EPA
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)0th %ile · below avg
Game-to-game consistency0th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • ▸Below-average efficiency vs QB peers — value comes through volume, not per-play impact.
  • ▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
  • ▸High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • ▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • ▸Production faded as the season progressed — 0.19 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • ▸Peak game: 0.66 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Wofford.

NIL Market Tier· 2023

On3 valuation ↗
Starter

Meaningful starter. Local collective + position-group deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+0.660−0.66Wk 1 vs Wofford: +0.66 EPA/play1Wk 4 vs North Carolina: -0.50 EPA/play4Wk 7 vs Louisville: +0.29 EPA/play7Wk 8 vs Wake Forest: +0.38 EPA/play8Wk 9 vs Notre Dame: -0.09 EPA/play9Wk 10 vs Florida State: -0.12 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Syracuse: +0.08 EPA/play11
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+C/ATTPass YdsPass TDINTQBRRush YdsRush TDEPA/play
1vsWoffordW45-7—5/9601044.1900.66
4vsNorth CarolinaL24-417.47/1885020.9-60-0.50
7vsLouisvilleW38-218.012/262002070.01700.29
8@Wake ForestL17-21-7.928/453022062.2600.38
9@Notre DameL7-5820.114/291270423.3-130-0.09
10vsFlorida StateL7-2419.415/352441142.1-210-0.12
11vsSyracuseL13-28-4.413/221611132.9-600.08

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
46.4%
Passing plays
78.2%
Rushing plays
9.4%
Standard downs
37.3%
Passing downs
65.9%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
-0.11
Passing downs
0.28
Pass / Rush EPA
0.14 / -0.79

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.