#3Brandon Wimbush

QB·Notre Dame·20176.8 pts line valueDay 3 (Rds 4–7)

Brandon Wimbush is a Dual-Threat QB for Notre Dame. Brandon's 2017 season ranks in the 40th percentile nationally by opponent-adjusted EPA per play across 387 plays — a developing rate for the QB.

What projects, and what doesn't · QBs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

Usage share (volume)0.46
Beats guessing the QB average by 16%. n=2,421 QB seasons
EPA per play (efficiency)0.05
Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=1,965 QB seasons
Total EPA (value)0.51
Beats guessing the QB average by 20%. n=1,965 QB seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Brandon Wimbush's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2017 Production

Passing

135/274 Comp/Att1871 Pass yards16 Pass TD6 INT49.3% Comp %

Rushing

804 Rush yards14 Rush TD140 Carries5.7 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2017 · vs QB peers

Efficiency40
Volume100
Dual-Threat100
Consistency81
Clutch82

Player type

Dual-Threat QB

A genuine rushing threat who stresses defenses horizontally. Extends plays with legs and forces extra gap assignments.

Rushing threatScrambles for valueStresses defensive structure

Peer percentiles

Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)40th %ile · below avg

Game-to-game consistency81th %ile · above avg

Key findings

▸High-volume role — one of the team's most-used QBs by play share.
▸High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
▸4 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
▸Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
▸Peak game: 0.64 EPA/play in Wk 4 vs Michigan State (SP+ 14).

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost

Wk	Opponent	Result	Opp SP+	C/ATT	Pass Yds	Pass TD	INT	QBR	Rush Yds	Rush TD	EPA/play
1	vsTemple	W49-16	0.5	17/30	184	2	1	83.7	106	1	0.39
2	vsGeorgia	L19-20	26.7	19/39	211	0	0	19.3	1	1	-0.12
3	@Boston College	W49-20	4.6	11/24	96	0	1	65.5	207	4	0.23
4	@Michigan State	W38-18	13.8	14/20	173	1	0	89.7	52	1	0.64
5	vsMiami (OH)	W52-17	-2.2	7/18	119	3	0	61.5	36	1	0.30
8	vsUSC	W49-14	17.9	9/19	120	2	0	79.4	106	2	0.42
9	vsNC State	W35-14	12.9	10/19	104	2	0	82.5	21	1	0.35
10	vsWake Forest	W48-37	10.5	15/30	280	1	0	—	110	2	0.53
11	@Miami	L8-41	17.4	10/21	119	1	2	—	24	0	0.06
12	vsNavy	W24-17	-0.7	9/18	164	2	0	93.1	41	1	0.60
13	@Stanford	L20-38	15.8	11/28	249	2	2	47.1	62	0	0.23
1	vsLSU	W21-17	21.1	3/8	52	0	0	35.9	38	0	0.27

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy

Overall

49.3%

Passing plays

85.2%

Rushing plays

24.6%

Standard downs

43.1%

Passing downs

61.1%

EPA by down type

Standard downs: 0.21
Passing downs: 0.42
Pass / Rush EPA: 0.16 / 0.66

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg

EPA per play · 2017 · 12 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.