Skip to content
Bert Emanuel Jr.
Bert Emanuel Jr.

#5Bert Emanuel Jr.

Bert Emanuel Jr. is a Slot Specialist WR for San Diego State.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Bert Emanuel Jr.'s projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

Recruiting Profile· Class of 2022

3-Star · Developmental
Stars
247 composite
0.8663
National rank
#855
High school
Fort Bend Ridge Point
Hometown
Missouri City, TX

Recruiting data from CFBD/247Sports composite. Sourced from the player's signing-class team — transfers show original school's class.

2025 Production

Passing
9/16 Comp/Att74 Pass yards0 Pass TD0 INT56.3% Comp %
Rushing
273 Rush yards2 Rush TD32 Carries8.5 Yards/carry

Performance Analysis · 2025 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume12
  • Explosiveness33
  • Consistency6
  • Pass-Down0
Player type
Slot Specialist WR

The offense's primary passing-down weapon — routes, separation, and reliability on 3rd down define this role.

3rd-down converterRoute technicianHigh passing-down share
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency6th %ile · below avg
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game variance — boom-or-bust profile.
  • Peak game: 4.35 EPA/play in Wk 1 vs Stony Brook.

NIL Market Tier· 2025

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Historical Comparables · WR · efficiency + volume + value

Players from 2013–2025 matched on EPA efficiency, play volume, and adjusted value tier — not just one metric.

PlayerTeamWEPA/playLine valTotal EPA
Quadree HendersonPittsburgh0.5301.633.4
DeAndre HughesAir Force0.4701.328.2
Savion WilliamsTCU0.4501.125.2
Keytaon ThompsonMississippi State0.4601.232.2
Javion PoseyFlorida Atlantic0.4501.423.8

Comps are statistical — efficiency, volume, and value tier all factor in. Style and conference context differ.

Game Log · EPA per play, week by week

+4.3504.35Wk 1 vs Stony Brook: +4.35 EPA/play1Wk 2 vs Washington State: -0.43 EPA/play2Wk 4 vs California: -0.34 EPA/play4Wk 5 vs Northern Illinois: -0.07 EPA/play5Wk 6 vs Colorado State: +0.09 EPA/play6Wk 7 vs Nevada: -0.34 EPA/play7
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+EPA/playPassRush
1vsStony BrookW42-04.354.35
2@Washington StateL13-363.8-0.43-0.43
4vsCaliforniaW34-0-3.2-0.34-0.34
5@Northern IllinoisW6-3-16.7-0.07-0.02-0.15
6vsColorado StateW45-24-15.60.090.140.05
7@NevadaW44-10-13.4-0.34-0.710.02
9@Fresno StateW23-01.8
10vsWyomingW24-7-11.3
11@Hawai'iL6-381.7
13vsSan José StateW25-3-14.3
20vsNorth TexasL47-4913.8

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
4.2%
Passing plays
3.4%
Rushing plays
4.7%
Standard downs
2.8%
Passing downs
7.7%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
1.43
Passing downs
-0.15
Pass / Rush EPA
0.06 / 1.29

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

Career · rolling EPA, game by game

Per-game EPA5-game avg
+0.710−0.03
EPA per play · 2022 · 3 games

Chart shows per-game EPA (bars) and rolling 5-game average (line). Season breaks marked with dashed lines. Line value = est. points over replacement per game.

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.