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Ali Jennings

#0Ali Jennings

Ali Jennings is a Vertical Threat WR for Virginia Tech.

What projects, and what doesn't · WRs · held out 2019-2025

How well one season predicts the next, measured on seasons the model never trained on. 1.00 would be perfectly predictable; 0.00 means last year told us nothing.

  • Usage share (volume)0.47
    Beats guessing the WR average by 16%. n=6,302 WR seasons
  • EPA per play (efficiency)0.09
    Not projectable — we do not forecast this. n=5,767 WR seasons
  • Total EPA (value)0.45
    Beats guessing the WR average by 12%. n=5,767 WR seasons

Across all positions, usage carries year to year at 0.47 and efficiency at 0.07. So Ali Jennings's projection is a projection of opportunity — how much of the offense he runs through. How well he converts it is something this model does not claim to know a year in advance, and the number above is why.

2024 Production

Receiving
15 Receptions373 Rec yards3 Rec TD24.9 Yards/rec
Returns
2 Punt returns17 PR yards0 PR TD

Performance Analysis · 2024 · vs WR peers

  • Efficiency100
  • Volume12
  • Explosiveness100
  • Consistency91
  • Pass-Down100
Player type
Vertical Threat WR

Elite deep receiver who stretches the field. Wins downfield, commands safety attention, and creates the threat that opens underneath routes.

Downfield threatYAC upsideCreates space for teammates
Peer percentiles
Opponent-adjusted EPA (WEPA/play)100th %ile · elite
Game-to-game consistency91th %ile · elite
Key findings
  • Top-10% efficiency among WRs — elite opponent-adjusted EPA rate.
  • Limited usage share suggests a rotational or specialist role.
  • High game-to-game consistency — reliable floor each week.
  • 6 high-impact games (EPA/play > 0.4) this season — elite ceiling.
  • Particularly dangerous on passing downs — efficiency spikes in obvious pass situations.
  • Production faded as the season progressed — 0.33 EPA/play decline from first to second half.
  • Peak game: 2.78 EPA/play in Wk 10 vs Syracuse (SP+ 6).

NIL Market Tier· 2024

On3 valuation ↗
Elite

Top-3 player at position nationally. Collective + national brand deals.

Tier is a model estimate based on position, school brand, performance rank, and usage — not a reported deal. NIL deals are private. For a real market valuation, see On3's NIL profile, which factors in social following and actual deal tracking.

Game Log · box score + EPA, week by week

+2.7802.78Wk 1 vs Vanderbilt: +2.48 EPA/play1Wk 3 vs Old Dominion: +1.09 EPA/play3Wk 10 vs Syracuse: +2.78 EPA/play10Wk 11 vs Clemson: +2.02 EPA/play11Wk 13 vs Duke: +1.64 EPA/play13Wk 14 vs Virginia: +1.70 EPA/play14
EPA per play · x-axis: weekabove 0 = added points · below = lost
WkOpponentResultOpp SP+RecRec YdsAvgRec TDLongEPA/play
1@VanderbiltL27-344.929145.51622.48
3@Old DominionW37-17-6.022613.00151.09
8vsBoston CollegeW42-211.2
10@SyracuseL31-385.511212.01122.78
11vsClemsonL14-2413.323517.50222.02
13@DukeL28-315.6615826.31651.64
14vsVirginiaW37-17-5.125125.50401.70
20vsMinnesotaL10-2410.4

Usage & Situational · Pro

Snap-share proxy
Overall
4.3%
Passing plays
9.6%
Rushing plays
0.0%
Standard downs
3.0%
Passing downs
6.9%
EPA by down type
Standard downs
1.43
Passing downs
1.96
Pass / Rush EPA
1.72 / —

Usage = share of team plays (CFBD has no true snap counts).

EPA = expected points added (opponent-adjusted). NIL estimates are model-based ranges, not reported deals. Data: CollegeFootballData. Not betting advice.