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Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers

Philadelphia Eagles
San Francisco 49ers
· NBC· Levi's Stadium

Market

Book
-1.5
o45.5
Exchange
Volume
contracts

Spreads are home-relative — negative means San Francisco 49ers is favoured.

Our projection

how the number is built
Model
-4
49ers
Win prob
62%
49ers
Likely range
-12 to 20
8 in 10 games
Rating gap
1647 − 1579 = +2.7 pts
Shrunk ×0.644
+1.8 pts
Home field
+2.25 pts
Projected margin
+4.0 49ers

Point differential, shrunk and adjusted for home field. Fitted on 1,087 games (2022–25) and scored on seasons it never saw: 12.9 points of error against 14.0 for no model. Against the closing line on a full season it went 133–133 — exactly even, and the closing line predicted the margin better than this did. Use it to understand a game, not to beat a price.

The matchup

form, ratings and the series
Eagles
Away
Our rating
1579#11
FPI rank
#92026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating
49ers
Home
Our rating
1647#7
FPI rank
#12026
Record
1-0
Point diff
+20+20/g

Last 3 meetings

49ers 2–1
  • 2025 wk 1949ers at Eagles231949ers
  • 2023 wk 1349ers at Eagles421949ers
  • 2022 wk 2149ers at Eagles731Eagles

From the 2022 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.

Order flow

Nothing has traded on the exchange for this game yet.

Who has moved

No price history archived for this game.

Total

The exchange isn't pricing a total for this game yet.

Notable trades

Nothing has traded here at a size worth calling out.

Resting size

No order book for this market right now.

PHI @ SF
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