Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Detroit Lions
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Detroit LionsMarket
- Book
- -4.5
- o49.5
- Exchange
- —
- Volume
- —
- contracts
Spreads are home-relative — negative means Detroit Lions is favoured.
Our projection
how the number is built- Model
- -6
- Lions
- Win prob
- 68%
- Lions
- Likely range
- -10 to 22
- 8 in 10 games
- Rating gap
- 1600 − 1454 = +5.8 pts
- Shrunk ×0.644
- +3.8 pts
- Home field
- +2.25 pts
- Projected margin
- +6.0 Lions
Point differential, shrunk and adjusted for home field. Fitted on 1,087 games (2022–25) and scored on seasons it never saw: 12.9 points of error against 14.0 for no model. Against the closing line on a full season it went 133–133 — exactly even, and the closing line predicted the margin better than this did. Use it to understand a game, not to beat a price. Neither side has played yet, so both ratings are last season’s.
The matchup
form, ratings and the series
- Our rating
- 1454#19
- FPI rank
- #172026
- Record
- —not started
- Point diff
- —last season's rating
- Our rating
- 1600#9
- FPI rank
- #82026
- Record
- —not started
- Point diff
- —last season's rating
Last 4 meetings
Lions 3–1- 2025 wk 7Buccaneers at Lions9–24Lions
- 2024 wk 2Buccaneers at Lions20–16Buccaneers
- 2023 wk 20Buccaneers at Lions23–31Lions
- 2023 wk 6Lions at Buccaneers20–6Lions
From the 2023 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.
Order flow
Nothing has traded on the exchange for this game yet.
Who has moved
No price history archived for this game.
Total
The exchange isn't pricing a total for this game yet.
Notable trades
Nothing has traded here at a size worth calling out.
Resting size
No order book for this market right now.