San Francisco 49ers at Dallas Cowboys
San Francisco 49ers
Dallas Cowboys· FOX· AT&T Stadium
Market
- Book
- -1.5
- o52.5
- Exchange
- —
- Volume
- —
- contracts
Spreads are home-relative — negative means Dallas Cowboys is favoured.
Our projection
how the number is built- Model
- +3.1
- Cowboys
- Win prob
- 59%
- 49ers
- Likely range
- -20 to 13
- 8 in 10 games
- Rating gap
- 1441 − 1647 = -8.2 pts
- Shrunk ×0.644
- -5.3 pts
- Home field
- +2.25 pts
- Projected margin
- -3.1 Cowboys
Point differential, shrunk and adjusted for home field. Fitted on 1,087 games (2022–25) and scored on seasons it never saw: 12.9 points of error against 14.0 for no model. Against the closing line on a full season it went 133–133 — exactly even, and the closing line predicted the margin better than this did. Use it to understand a game, not to beat a price.
The matchup
form, ratings and the series
49ers
Away
- Our rating
- 1647#7
- FPI rank
- #12026
- Record
- 1-0
- Point diff
- +20+20/g
Cowboys
Home
- Our rating
- 1441#20
- FPI rank
- #102026
- Record
- —not started
- Point diff
- —last season's rating
Last 3 meetings
Cowboys 0–3- 2024 wk 8Cowboys at 49ers24–3049ers
- 2023 wk 5Cowboys at 49ers10–4249ers
- 2022 wk 20Cowboys at 49ers12–1949ers
From the 2022 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.
Order flow
Nothing has traded on the exchange for this game yet.
Who has moved
No price history archived for this game.
Total
The exchange isn't pricing a total for this game yet.
Notable trades
Nothing has traded here at a size worth calling out.
Resting size
No order book for this market right now.