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Chicago Bears at Seattle Seahawks

Chicago Bears
Seattle Seahawks
· ESPN· Lumen Field

Market

Book
-4.5
o47.5
Exchange
Volume
contracts

Spreads are home-relative — negative means Seattle Seahawks is favoured.

Our projection

how the number is built
Model
-7.8
Seahawks
Win prob
73%
Seahawks
Likely range
-9 to 24
8 in 10 games
Rating gap
1755 − 1538 = +8.7 pts
Shrunk ×0.644
+5.6 pts
Home field
+2.25 pts
Projected margin
+7.8 Seahawks

Point differential, shrunk and adjusted for home field. Fitted on 1,087 games (2022–25) and scored on seasons it never saw: 12.9 points of error against 14.0 for no model. Against the closing line on a full season it went 133–133 — exactly even, and the closing line predicted the margin better than this did. Use it to understand a game, not to beat a price.

The matchup

form, ratings and the series
Bears
Away
Our rating
1538#16
FPI rank
#162026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating
Seahawks
Home
Our rating
1755#1
FPI rank
#202026
Record
1-0
Point diff
+3+3/g

Last meeting

Seahawks 1–0
  • 2024 wk 17Seahawks at Bears63Seahawks

From the 2024 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.

Order flow

Nothing has traded on the exchange for this game yet.

Who has moved

No price history archived for this game.

Total

The exchange isn't pricing a total for this game yet.

Notable trades

Nothing has traded here at a size worth calling out.

Resting size

No order book for this market right now.

CHI @ SEA
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