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Dallas Cowboys at Green Bay Packers

Dallas Cowboys
Green Bay Packers
· NBC· Lambeau Field

Market

Book
-3
o51.5
Exchange
Volume
contracts

Spreads are home-relative — negative means Green Bay Packers is favoured.

Our projection

how the number is built
Model
-5
Packers
Win prob
65%
Packers
Likely range
-12 to 21
8 in 10 games
Rating gap
1546 − 1441 = +4.2 pts
Shrunk ×0.644
+2.7 pts
Home field
+2.25 pts
Projected margin
+5.0 Packers

Point differential, shrunk and adjusted for home field. Fitted on 1,087 games (2022–25) and scored on seasons it never saw: 12.9 points of error against 14.0 for no model. Against the closing line on a full season it went 133–133 — exactly even, and the closing line predicted the margin better than this did. Use it to understand a game, not to beat a price. Neither side has played yet, so both ratings are last season’s.

The matchup

form, ratings and the series
Cowboys
Away
Our rating
1441#20
FPI rank
#102026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating
Packers
Home
Our rating
1546#13
FPI rank
#62026
Record
not started
Point diff
last season's rating

Last 3 meetings

Packers 2–0, 1 tied
  • 2025 wk 4Packers at Cowboys4040tie
  • 2023 wk 19Packers at Cowboys4832Packers
  • 2022 wk 10Cowboys at Packers2831Packers

From the 2022 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.

Order flow

Nothing has traded on the exchange for this game yet.

Who has moved

No price history archived for this game.

Total

The exchange isn't pricing a total for this game yet.

Notable trades

Nothing has traded here at a size worth calling out.

Resting size

No order book for this market right now.

DAL @ GB
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