New York Giants at Los Angeles Rams
New York Giants
Los Angeles RamsMarket
- Book
- -9.5
- o48.5
- Exchange
- —
- 77% LAR
- Volume
- 45k
- contracts
Spreads are home-relative — negative means Los Angeles Rams is favoured.
Our projection
how the number is built- Model
- -8.5
- Rams
- Win prob
- 75%
- Rams
- Likely range
- -8 to 25
- 8 in 10 games
- Rating gap
- 1659 − 1415 = +9.8 pts
- Shrunk ×0.644
- +6.3 pts
- Home field
- +2.25 pts
- Projected margin
- +8.5 Rams
Point differential, shrunk and adjusted for home field. Fitted on 1,087 games (2022–25) and scored on seasons it never saw: 12.9 points of error against 14.0 for no model. Against the closing line on a full season it went 133–133 — exactly even, and the closing line predicted the margin better than this did. Use it to understand a game, not to beat a price.
The matchup
form, ratings and the series
- Our rating
- 1415#22
- FPI rank
- #232026
- Record
- —not started
- Point diff
- —last season's rating
- Our rating
- 1659#6
- FPI rank
- #52026
- Record
- 0-1
- Point diff
- -20-20/g
Last meeting
Rams 1–0- 2023 wk 17Rams at Giants26–25Rams
From the 2023 season on — earlier meetings are not stored.
Order flow
131 trades · $1,348Money ahead of trade count — fewer, larger orders on this side.
Trade count ahead of money — many small orders on this side.
Thin market — too few trades here to read anything into the split.
Share of money and share of trades among the side that crossed the spread to get filled, over the last 131 trades. This is exchange flow, not a sportsbook's handle — a different set of people, and a smaller pool.
Who has moved
consensus -9.5| Venue | Now | Moved | vs cons. |
|---|---|---|---|
| DraftKings | -9.5 | -1 | 0 |
Movement is measured from the first price we archived (2026-08-31), not from the market open. Spreads are home-relative.
Total
The exchange isn't pricing a total for this game yet.
Notable trades
12 orders · 73% of the money- Los Angeles Rams3,123 @ 0.79$2,467527×
- Los Angeles Rams3,000 @ 0.80$2,400513×
- Los Angeles Rams3,000 @ 0.80$2,400513×
- Los Angeles Rams3,000 @ 0.79$2,370506×
- Los Angeles Rams2,234 @ 0.79$1,765377×
- Los Angeles Rams480 @ 0.80$38482×
- Los Angeles Rams463 @ 0.80$37079×
- Los Angeles Rams400 @ 0.80$32068×
- Los Angeles Rams400 @ 0.80$32068×
- Los Angeles Rams368 @ 0.83$30665×
- Los Angeles Rams382 @ 0.78$29864×
- Los Angeles Rams300 @ 0.77$23149×
Orders at least 5× the typical trade on this market (median $4.68), largest first, from the last 459 prints. Size, side and time are facts from the tape — who placed them, and why, is not something we can see.
Resting size
0.77 / 0.78 · 1¢ wideDollars waiting to be filled on each side — what has not traded yet, which is the opposite of a handle figure. Resting orders can be pulled, so this is a picture of intent, not a prediction.