Norfolk State vs. Delaware State: Final Score & Recap

ReplayCommandBoxAnalyticsMatchup

Norfolk State0-1

▸0044

Delaware State0-2

0021

Final

Alumni StadiumConference game

	1	2	3	4	T
NORF	13	21	10	0	44
DELA	0	7	7	7	21

NORFTeam statsDELA

459Total yards201

174Pass133

285Rush68

18First downs13

4-113rd down2-7

1Turnovers3

36:08Possession23:52

Scoring plays

• Q4 11:24DELAMarquis Gillis 7 Yd Run (Nathan Wilson Kick)44–21
• Q3 4:50NORFGregory Perkins 10 Yd pass from Cameron Sapp (Grandin Willcox Kick)44–14
• Q3 8:48DELARahkeem Smith 51 Yd pass from Aaron Angelos (Nathan Wilson Kick)37–14
• Q3 9:37NORFGrandin Willcox 47 Yd Field Goal 37–7
• Q2 0:10NORFTavian Morris 16 Yd pass from Cameron Sapp (Grandin Willcox Kick)34–7
• Q2 0:52DELAMarquis Gillis 6 Yd Run (Nathan Wilson Kick)27–7
• Q2 4:29NORFKevon King 3 Yd Run (Grandin Willcox Kick)27–0
• Q2 10:50NORFCameron Sapp 4 Yd Run (Grandin Willcox Kick)20–0
• Q1 3:04NORFGrandin Willcox 42 Yd Field Goal 13–0
• Q1 9:18NORFGrandin Willcox 36 Yd Field Goal 10–0
• Q1 13:34NORFX'Zavion Evans 66 Yd Run (Grandin Willcox Kick)7–0

How the model called it

Market line

NORF −7

Against the number

NORF covered

line NORF −7

Win probability

ours solid · ESPN dashed

DELA 100%50%NORF 100%

Kickoff123 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

DELA (top)NORF (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: DELA 0%

How the line closed

model vs market

Closing line

NORF −7

Closing total

51.5

Model line

—

Actual result

NORF 44 – 21 DELA

Leaders

Norfolk State

• PassCameron Sapp 8/12, 174 YDS, 2 TD
• RushKevon King 19 CAR, 116 YDS, 1 TD
• RecAndre Pegues 3 REC, 100 YDS

Delaware State

• PassAaron Angelos 9/15, 133 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
• RushMarquis Gillis 20 CAR, 84 YDS, 2 TD
• RecRahkeem Smith 3 REC, 67 YDS, 1 TD

Tempo

what this pace leaves on the clock

31.8sper snap · slower the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

105

Points / snap

0.62

This exact spot, historically

empirical, no ratings

NORF up 30 entering the 4th quarter. Across 532 historically comparable game states (within ±2 pts and ±3 min, from 3,056 games):

99%

NORF went on to win

A near-lock historically

Most comparable games

WIdaho vs Lamar42-17WNorth Dakota State vs Maine44-7WColumbia vs Georgetown30-0WEast Carolina vs Gardner-Webb44-0WOhio State vs Minnesota37-3

Fourth downs

9 calls

DELA gave up 0.1 points to the model on fourth down.NORF 6/6 · DELA 1/2 agreed

FAQ

What was the final score of Norfolk State vs. Delaware State?

Norfolk State 44, Delaware State 21.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

No — the model picked DELA, which didn't hit. We report the misses too.

Situational splits

what the averages hide

NORF

DELA

43%

Success rate

49%

1.18

EPA / pass

-0.07

0.20

EPA / rush

0.21

44%

Early-down success

50%

67%

Pass success

50%

38%

Rush success

48%

17%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

16%

29%

Stuffed rush rate

36%

20%

Pass rate

44%

8.1

Avg 3rd-down distance

8.7

NORF

8.1 yards to go on 3rd down

60 scrimmage snaps

DELA

8.7 yards to go on 3rd down

45 scrimmage snaps

Team stats

the basics, from ESPN

NORF		DELA
459	Total yards	201
174	Passing yards	133
285	Rushing yards	68
18	First downs	13
4-11	3rd down	2-7
1-1	4th down	0-0
8/12	Comp/Att	9/17
14.5	Yards per pass	7.8
6.1	Yards per rush	2.6
1	Turnovers	3
11-80	Penalties	3-17
36:08	Possession	23:52

Fourth downs

9 calls

NORF

6/6 with the model

nothing given up

DELA

1/2 with the model

−0.1 pts · −0.0% win prob

Costliest call

Q1 13:29 DELA punt on 4th & 4 at DELA 43. The model preferred go for it, a gap of 0.14 points.

Every call, priced (9)

Drive chart

every possession, start to finish

NORF 8/12 scoring drives← own end zone →DELA 3/11 scoring drives

NORFTD3 pl, 65 yds· own 35Q1

DELAPUNT3 pl, 6 yds· own 37Q1

NORFFG5 pl, 46 yds· own 35Q1

DELAINT3 pl, -3 yds· own 33Q1

NORFFG7 pl, 14 yds· opp 39Q1

DELAKICKOFF6 pl, 21 yds· own 29Q1

NORFTD5 pl, 87 yds· own 13Q2

DELAPUNT4 pl, -28 yds· own 30Q2

NORFTD6 pl, 33 yds· opp 33Q2

DELATD7 pl, 65 yds· own 35Q2

NORFTD3 pl, 27 yds· opp 27Q2

DELAPUNT3 pl, 2 yds· own 30Q3

NORFFG8 pl, 21 yds· own 44Q3

DELATD2 pl, 66 yds· own 34Q3

NORFTD7 pl, 75 yds· own 25Q3

DELAINT4 pl, 11 yds· own 29Q3

NORFPUNT3 pl, -11 yds· own 29Q3

DELATD8 pl, 45 yds· opp 45Q3

NORFPUNT4 pl, 11 yds· own 25Q4

DELAPUNT2 pl, -1 yds· own 15Q4

NORFFUM1 pl, 4 yds· own 44Q4

DELAINT1 pl, 0 yds· opp 48Q4

NORFEND10 pl, 37 yds· opp 43Q4

Scoring plays

• Q4 11:24DELAMarquis Gillis 7 Yd Run (Nathan Wilson Kick)44–21
• Q3 4:50NORFGregory Perkins 10 Yd pass from Cameron Sapp (Grandin Willcox Kick)44–14
• Q3 8:48DELARahkeem Smith 51 Yd pass from Aaron Angelos (Nathan Wilson Kick)37–14
• Q3 9:37NORFGrandin Willcox 47 Yd Field Goal 37–7
• Q2 0:10NORFTavian Morris 16 Yd pass from Cameron Sapp (Grandin Willcox Kick)34–7
• Q2 0:52DELAMarquis Gillis 6 Yd Run (Nathan Wilson Kick)27–7
• Q2 4:29NORFKevon King 3 Yd Run (Grandin Willcox Kick)27–0
• Q2 10:50NORFCameron Sapp 4 Yd Run (Grandin Willcox Kick)20–0
• Q1 3:04NORFGrandin Willcox 42 Yd Field Goal 13–0
• Q1 9:18NORFGrandin Willcox 36 Yd Field Goal 10–0
• Q1 13:34NORFX'Zavion Evans 66 Yd Run (Grandin Willcox Kick)7–0

Model prediction

how the number is built

One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →