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Which is the best college football conference in 2025?

Analysis

Every FBS team is a dot. Conference averages are not shown, and that is the point: the SEC’s mean is dragged up by four teams, the Big Ten’s spread is twice the Sun Belt’s, and a bar chart of means says none of it. What “compare the conferences” actually asks is how much of one league sits inside the other.

Offense success rate · 2025

FBS medianFBS IndependentsBig TenAmerican Athlet…Big 12SECACCPac-12Mountain WestSun BeltConference USAMid-American

One dot per team, one tick per conference median. Leagues are ordered by median, and the mean is deliberately not shown — four teams drag it and it hides how far the two distributions overlap.

ConferenceTeamsMedianSpreadBest
FBS Independents246.1%0.4%Notre Dame 46.3%
Big Ten1845.1%6.1%Ohio State 52.8%
American Athletic1443.5%4.8%North Texas 52.3%
Big 121643.2%6.0%Utah 49.3%
SEC1643.2%6.2%Tennessee 50.1%
ACC1741.9%4.6%Georgia Tech 49.1%
Pac-12241.5%0.3%Oregon State 41.7%
Mountain West1241.0%3.7%Air Force 47.8%
Sun Belt1440.8%5.8%Texas State 46.7%
Conference USA1240.8%3.8%Jacksonville State 43.9%
Mid-American1339.0%7.6%Toledo 44.5%

Two numbers, not one

Median answers “how good is this league”. Spread — the interquartile range — answers “how evenly good”, and it is usually the more interesting of the two. A league with a high median and a huge spread is four contenders and eight teams padding their records, which is exactly the shape that produces a conference champion who keeps losing in January.

Note which metric you are looking at. CORE is opponent-adjusted, so it can be compared across leagues honestly. The raw metrics cannot: a conference that plays itself twelve times has its schedule strength baked into every raw number, which is the single most common way conference comparisons go wrong.