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Which is the best college football conference in 2023?

Analysis

Every FBS team is a dot. Conference averages are not shown, and that is the point: the SEC’s mean is dragged up by four teams, the Big Ten’s spread is twice the Sun Belt’s, and a bar chart of means says none of it. What “compare the conferences” actually asks is how much of one league sits inside the other.

Third down conversion · 2023

FBS medianSun BeltPac-12Mountain WestBig 12Big TenAmerican Athlet…ACCSECConference USAFBS IndependentsMid-American

One dot per team, one tick per conference median. Leagues are ordered by median, and the mean is deliberately not shown — four teams drag it and it hides how far the two distributions overlap.

ConferenceTeamsMedianSpreadBest
Sun Belt1443.3%8.6%Georgia Southern 48.3%
Pac-121242.8%6.3%Oregon 51.3%
Mountain West1241.8%9.2%UNLV 51.5%
Big 121441.2%9.8%UCF 51.8%
Big Ten1440.7%6.4%Wisconsin 46.1%
American Athletic1440.6%7.2%UTSA 48.9%
ACC1440.5%5.0%North Carolina 48.4%
SEC1440.1%8.3%Georgia 56.7%
Conference USA939.6%8.3%Liberty 51.0%
FBS Independents439.3%7.6%Notre Dame 45.9%
Mid-American1236.6%7.9%Ohio 46.9%

Two numbers, not one

Median answers “how good is this league”. Spread — the interquartile range — answers “how evenly good”, and it is usually the more interesting of the two. A league with a high median and a huge spread is four contenders and eight teams padding their records, which is exactly the shape that produces a conference champion who keeps losing in January.

Note which metric you are looking at. CORE is opponent-adjusted, so it can be compared across leagues honestly. The raw metrics cannot: a conference that plays itself twelve times has its schedule strength baked into every raw number, which is the single most common way conference comparisons go wrong.