UT Martin vs. West Virginia: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
UT MTeam statsWVU
- Q4 3:25UT MJohn Betts III 6 Yd Fumble Return (Brandon Sims Kick)7–52
- Q4 7:07WVUKedrick Triplett 27 Yd pass from Jyron Hughley (Nate Flower Kick)0–52
- Q3 1:35WVUJack Cassidy 35 Yd Field Goal 0–45
- Q3 9:56WVUAmari Latimer 29 Yd Run (Jack Cassidy Kick)0–42
- Q3 12:57WVURyan Ward 32 Yd pass from Michael Hawkins Jr. (Jack Cassidy Kick)0–35
- Q2 11:30WVUMichael Hawkins Jr. 5 Yd Run (Jack Cassidy Kick)0–28
- Q1 5:27WVUMichael Hawkins Jr. 71 Yd Run (Jack Cassidy Kick)0–21
- Q1 9:11WVUCam Cook 2 Yd Run (Jack Cassidy Kick)0–14
- Q1 12:08WVUDJ Epps 53 Yd pass from Michael Hawkins Jr. (Jack Cassidy Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = UT M ahead, below = WVU ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
- PassTate Surber 19/28, 137 YDS, 1 INT
- RushChris Franklin 12 CAR, 85 YDS
- RecKaleb Costner 3 REC, 36 YDS
- PassMichael Hawkins Jr. 5/7, 155 YDS, 2 TD
- RushMichael Hawkins Jr. 6 CAR, 96 YDS, 2 TD
- RecDJ Epps 2 REC, 112 YDS, 1 TD
FAQ
What was the final score of UT Martin vs. West Virginia?
UT Martin 7, West Virginia 52.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (WVU) was correct.
| UT M | WVU | |
|---|---|---|
| 318 | Total yards | 525 |
| 170 | Passing yards | 209 |
| 148 | Rushing yards | 316 |
| 18 | First downs | 23 |
| 7-16 | 3rd down | 8-12 |
| 1-3 | 4th down | 0-0 |
| 22/33 | Comp/Att | 8/12 |
| 5.2 | Yards per pass | 17.4 |
| 4.0 | Yards per rush | 6.2 |
| 2 | Turnovers | 1 |
| 6-59 | Penalties | 2-9 |
| 34:44 | Possession | 25:16 |
- Q4 3:25UT MJohn Betts III 6 Yd Fumble Return (Brandon Sims Kick)7–52
- Q4 7:07WVUKedrick Triplett 27 Yd pass from Jyron Hughley (Nate Flower Kick)0–52
- Q3 1:35WVUJack Cassidy 35 Yd Field Goal 0–45
- Q3 9:56WVUAmari Latimer 29 Yd Run (Jack Cassidy Kick)0–42
- Q3 12:57WVURyan Ward 32 Yd pass from Michael Hawkins Jr. (Jack Cassidy Kick)0–35
- Q2 11:30WVUMichael Hawkins Jr. 5 Yd Run (Jack Cassidy Kick)0–28
- Q1 5:27WVUMichael Hawkins Jr. 71 Yd Run (Jack Cassidy Kick)0–21
- Q1 9:11WVUCam Cook 2 Yd Run (Jack Cassidy Kick)0–14
- Q1 12:08WVUDJ Epps 53 Yd pass from Michael Hawkins Jr. (Jack Cassidy Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency, with home-field advantage. That projects WVU -22.1 (90% to win) — 19.4 points clear of UT M's market line of -41.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →