Fordham vs. Coastal Carolina: Final Score & Recap
Final score, recap & advanced stats
FORDTeam statsCCU
- Q4 10:57CCUJaden Allen-Hendrix 5 Yd Run (Nico Cavanillas Alti Kick)7–45
- Q3 0:15CCUNico Cavanillas Alti 56 Yd Field Goal 7–38
- Q3 9:15CCUDominic Lee-Knicely 18 Yd Run (Nico Cavanillas Alti Kick)7–35
- Q2 0:39CCUClayton Coppock Jr. 12 Yd pass from Deuce Bailey (Nico Cavanillas Alti Kick)7–28
- Q2 5:01CCURobby Washington 23 Yd pass from Deuce Bailey (Nico Cavanillas Alti Kick)7–21
- Q2 11:11CCUColton Hinton 65 Yd pass from Deuce Bailey (Nico Cavanillas Alti Kick)7–14
- Q2 13:09FORDNodin Tracy 6 Yd pass from Gunnar Smith (Bennett Henderson Kick)7–7
- Q1 10:09CCUDominic Lee-Knicely 5 Yd Run (Nico Cavanillas Alti Kick)0–7
How the model called it
Cumulative margin after each quarter. Above the line = FORD ahead, below = CCU ahead.
Play-by-play win probability isn't available for this game — scoreboard margin by quarter shown instead.
- PassGunnar Smith 9/20, 101 YDS, 1 TD, 2 INT
- RushGunnar Smith 11 CAR, 40 YDS
- RecNodin Tracy 4 REC, 56 YDS, 1 TD
- PassDeuce Bailey 12/25, 203 YDS, 3 TD
- RushJaden Allen-Hendrix 7 CAR, 58 YDS, 1 TD
- RecColton Hinton 3 REC, 101 YDS, 1 TD
FAQ
What was the final score of Fordham vs. Coastal Carolina?
Fordham 7, Coastal Carolina 45.
Did Gridpex's model pick hit?
Yes — the model's pick (CCU) was correct.
| FORD | CCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 215 | Total yards | 460 |
| 101 | Passing yards | 209 |
| 114 | Rushing yards | 251 |
| 11 | First downs | 23 |
| 2-11 | 3rd down | 6-13 |
| 0-0 | 4th down | 0-1 |
| 9/21 | Comp/Att | 13/28 |
| 4.8 | Yards per pass | 7.5 |
| 3.5 | Yards per rush | 6.1 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 0 |
| 7-60 | Penalties | 6-50 |
| 30:05 | Possession | 29:55 |
- Q4 10:57CCUJaden Allen-Hendrix 5 Yd Run (Nico Cavanillas Alti Kick)7–45
- Q3 0:15CCUNico Cavanillas Alti 56 Yd Field Goal 7–38
- Q3 9:15CCUDominic Lee-Knicely 18 Yd Run (Nico Cavanillas Alti Kick)7–35
- Q2 0:39CCUClayton Coppock Jr. 12 Yd pass from Deuce Bailey (Nico Cavanillas Alti Kick)7–28
- Q2 5:01CCURobby Washington 23 Yd pass from Deuce Bailey (Nico Cavanillas Alti Kick)7–21
- Q2 11:11CCUColton Hinton 65 Yd pass from Deuce Bailey (Nico Cavanillas Alti Kick)7–14
- Q2 13:09FORDNodin Tracy 6 Yd pass from Gunnar Smith (Bennett Henderson Kick)7–7
- Q1 10:09CCUDominic Lee-Knicely 5 Yd Run (Nico Cavanillas Alti Kick)0–7
Model prediction
how the number is builtOur model simulates the game drive by drive from each side's opponent-adjusted efficiency, with home-field advantage. That projects CCU -13.5 (79% to win) — 24.0 points clear of FORD's market line of -37.5. That is a disagreement, not a betting edge — sides we favour have not covered at better than breakeven.
Why that percentage is worth reading: across 604 graded in-season games, the calls this model put near 58% came in at 58.2%. The full calibration table is published, bin by bin. Early in the season the cold-start path runs instead and calibrates less well (Brier 0.2028 against 0.1889).
Model as of Sep 1 · through week 1 · drive simulation
Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →