North American vs. Portland State: Final Score & Recap

ReplayCommandBoxAnalyticsMatchup

North American

00

Portland State0-2

▸0091

Final

Hillsboro Stadium

	1	2	3	4	T
NORT	0	0	0	0	0
PORT	21	42	28	0	91

NORTTeam statsPORT

-23Total yards436

26Pass134

-49Rush302

2First downs21

1-153rd down7-9

2Turnovers0

31:55Possession28:05

Scoring plays

• Q3 2:04PORTChristian Grubb 60 Yd Punt Return (Fyodor Henrichs-Tarasenkov Kick)0–91
• Q3 4:10PORTDay Day Bright 21 Yd Interception Return (Fyodor Henrichs-Tarasenkov Kick)0–84
• Q3 4:18PORTDelon Thompson 7 Yd Run (Fyodor Henrichs-Tarasenkov Kick)0–77
• Q3 12:26PORTEric Denham 30 Yd pass from Logan Gonzalez (Fyodor Henrichs-Tarasenkov Kick)0–70
• Q2 2:07PORTJermaine Braddock 16 Yd pass from Dante Chachere (Gianni Smith Kick)0–63
• Q2 5:00PORTSemaj Bolin 8 Yd pass from Dante Chachere (Gianni Smith Kick)0–56
• Q2 9:02PORTJermaine Braddock 16 Yd pass from Dante Chachere (Gianni Smith Kick)0–49
• Q2 10:45PORTChristian Grubb 2 Yd Run (Gianni Smith Kick)0–42
• Q2 12:33PORTQuincy Craig 31 Yd Run (Gianni Smith Kick)0–35
• Q2 14:55PORTAndrew Van Buren 3 Yd Run (Gianni Smith Kick)0–28
• Q1 1:55PORTQuincy Craig 8 Yd Run (Gianni Smith Kick)0–21
• Q1 7:03PORTJobi Malary 10 Yd Run (Gianni Smith Kick)0–14
• Q1 11:30PORTJobi Malary 3 Yd Run (Gianni Smith Kick)0–7

Win probability

ours solid · ESPN dashed

PORT 100%50%NORT 100%

Kickoff134 plays →Final

Tap or hover on the chart to see play details

PORT (top)NORT (bottom)· colored dots = scoresFinal: PORT 100%

Leaders

North American

• PassJesper Korkalainen 6/15, 17 YDS, 1 INT
• RushXander Armani Williams 2 CAR, 7 YDS
• RecJason Reaves 2 REC, 7 YDS

Portland State

• PassDante Chachere 6/9, 74 YDS, 3 TD
• RushQuincy Craig 7 CAR, 69 YDS, 2 TD
• RecJermaine Braddock 3 REC, 39 YDS, 2 TD

Tempo

what this pace leaves on the clock

32.9sper snap · slower the national 24.5s

fastnational avgslow

Snaps run

108

Points / snap

0.84

Fourth downs

15 calls

NORT gave up 0.1 points to the model on fourth down.NORT 11/12 · PORT 1/1 agreed

FAQ

What was the final score of North American vs. Portland State?

North American 0, Portland State 91.

Did Gridpex's model pick hit?

Yes — the model's pick (PORT) was correct.

Situational splits

what the averages hide

NORT

PORT

8%

Success rate

55%

-0.48

EPA / pass

1.21

-0.47

EPA / rush

0.44

9%

Early-down success

52%

18%

Pass success

67%

0%

Rush success

52%

2%

Explosive play rate (15+ yds)

16%

50%

Stuffed rush rate

18%

42%

Pass rate

21%

9.7

Avg 3rd-down distance

10.8

NORT

9.7 yards to go on 3rd down

52 scrimmage snaps

PORT

10.8 yards to go on 3rd down

56 scrimmage snaps

Team stats

the basics, from ESPN

NORT		PORT
-23	Total yards	436
26	Passing yards	134
-49	Rushing yards	302
2	First downs	21
1-15	3rd down	7-9
0-2	4th down	0-0
10/21	Comp/Att	8/12
1.2	Yards per pass	11.2
-1.6	Yards per rush	6.7
2	Turnovers	0
8-65	Penalties	10-100
31:55	Possession	28:05

Fourth downs

15 calls

NORT

11/12 with the model

−0.1 pts · −0.0% win prob

PORT

1/1 with the model

nothing given up

Costliest call

Q2 10:58 NORT go for it on 4th & 4 at NORT 31. The model preferred punt, a gap of 0.11 points.

Every call, priced (15)

Drive chart

every possession, start to finish

NORT 2/16 scoring drives← own end zone →PORT 11/13 scoring drives

PORTTD6 pl, 30 yds· opp 30Q1

NORTPUNT3 pl, 1 yds· own 25Q1

PORTTD6 pl, 55 yds· own 45Q1

NORTPUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 25Q1

PORTTD8 pl, 65 yds· own 35Q1

NORTPUNT3 pl, 7 yds· own 25Q1

PORTTD3 pl, 55 yds· own 45Q1

NORTPUNT3 pl, 3 yds· own 25Q2

PORTTD3 pl, 54 yds· own 46Q2

NORTDOWNS4 pl, -23 yds· own 25Q2

PORTTD1 pl, 2 yds· opp 2Q2

NORTINT3 pl, 0 yds· own 25Q2

PORTTD1 pl, 16 yds· opp 16Q2

NORTPUNT3 pl, -8 yds· own 22Q2

PORTTD4 pl, 18 yds· opp 18Q2

NORTPUNT3 pl, -2 yds· own 25Q2

PORTTD3 pl, 9 yds· opp 9Q2

NORTEND3 pl, 6 yds· own 25Q2

NORTPUNT3 pl, -4 yds· own 16Q3

PORTTD4 pl, 60 yds· own 40Q3

NORTDOWNS7 pl, 4 yds· own 33Q3

PORTTD7 pl, 37 yds· opp 37Q3

NORTTD1 pl, 0 yds· own 25Q3

NORTTD3 pl, 0 yds· own 25Q3

NORTPUNT3 pl, -17 yds· own 30Q3

PORTPUNT9 pl, 16 yds· own 24Q4

NORTPUNT5 pl, 13 yds· own 15Q4

PORTPUNT3 pl, -3 yds· own 20Q4

NORTEND2 pl, 4 yds· own 19Q4

Scoring plays

• Q3 2:04PORTChristian Grubb 60 Yd Punt Return (Fyodor Henrichs-Tarasenkov Kick)0–91
• Q3 4:10PORTDay Day Bright 21 Yd Interception Return (Fyodor Henrichs-Tarasenkov Kick)0–84
• Q3 4:18PORTDelon Thompson 7 Yd Run (Fyodor Henrichs-Tarasenkov Kick)0–77
• Q3 12:26PORTEric Denham 30 Yd pass from Logan Gonzalez (Fyodor Henrichs-Tarasenkov Kick)0–70
• Q2 2:07PORTJermaine Braddock 16 Yd pass from Dante Chachere (Gianni Smith Kick)0–63
• Q2 5:00PORTSemaj Bolin 8 Yd pass from Dante Chachere (Gianni Smith Kick)0–56
• Q2 9:02PORTJermaine Braddock 16 Yd pass from Dante Chachere (Gianni Smith Kick)0–49
• Q2 10:45PORTChristian Grubb 2 Yd Run (Gianni Smith Kick)0–42
• Q2 12:33PORTQuincy Craig 31 Yd Run (Gianni Smith Kick)0–35
• Q2 14:55PORTAndrew Van Buren 3 Yd Run (Gianni Smith Kick)0–28
• Q1 1:55PORTQuincy Craig 8 Yd Run (Gianni Smith Kick)0–21
• Q1 7:03PORTJobi Malary 10 Yd Run (Gianni Smith Kick)0–14
• Q1 11:30PORTJobi Malary 3 Yd Run (Gianni Smith Kick)0–7

Model prediction

how the number is built

One or both teams lack a power rating (often an FCS opponent), so the model prediction is low-confidence for this game.

Where this number comes from. Every projection on this page is produced by the same model, run before kickoff on opponent-adjusted efficiency, power ratings and situational data — walk-forward validated on eleven seasons and never adjusted after the fact. How the model works →