Skip to content

Boise State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Mountain West · 20-11 · AdjEM +17.9, 32 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
+17.932 of 362
AdjO
113.040 of 362
AdjD
95.030 of 362
AdjT
68.9244 of 362

Boise State went from +14.5 (#48) on 2023-11-05 to +17.9 (#32) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +18.8 (#27) on 2024-03-04.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.0%152
TOV%
15.3%130
OREB%
30.9%68
FTA/FGA
35.1%112
Opp eFG%
49.8%133
Opp TOV%
15.7%191
DREB%
78.5%12
Opp FTA/FGA
33.1%193

Résumé20-11 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
+9.955 of 362
Non-conference
+10.68 of 362
Luck
-1.9%224 of 362
Wins above bubble
+0.347 of 362
Quad 1
5-6
Quad 2
5-5
Quad 3
5-0
Quad 4
5-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Tyson DegenhartF3233.116.76.21.554.5%60.3%—31.6%79.1%
Max RiceG3331.912.23.71.848.1%52.4%—34.9%83.9%
O'Mar StanleyF3326.412.76.61.556.4%60.7%—31.3%75.9%
Roddie Anderson IIIG3326.36.53.02.440.9%42.6%—26.7%54.7%
Cam MartinF3217.65.34.42.449.6%53.6%—18.5%65.2%
Jace WhitingG3314.43.31.71.157.2%59.6%—50.0%81.3%
Andrew MeadowF3311.13.21.20.251.1%52.8%—32.7%60.0%
RJ Keene IIG219.81.82.00.739.0%40.9%—18.2%55.6%
Kobe YoungG254.11.11.10.250.0%56.7%—22.2%87.5%
Mohamed SyllaC93.31.11.00.062.5%62.5%———
Kade RiceG83.00.10.90.1—26.3%——25.0%
Rayzhon BergersenG112.02.01.02.025.0%25.0%———
Sam WinterG22.01.00.50.050.0%50.0%—0.0%—
Vince BarringerG22.00.00.00.00.0%0.0%—0.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games20-11

“Ours” is our projected margin for Boise State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-12vsSan FranciscoQ2#53W 63-58+7.3
11-19@ClemsonQ1#23L 68-85-5.8
11-23nVirginia TechQ2#57L 75-82-1.8
11-24nVCUQ2#71W 65-61+1.1
11-26nButlerQ2#73L 56-70+1.1
12-01nSaint Mary'sQ1#14W 63-60-3.5
12-05vsNorth TexasQ2#67W 69-64+1.4
12-12vsNorthwestern StateQ4#332W 95-54+23.9
12-17vsCal State FullertonQ4#213W 88-65+14.1
12-21nWashington StateQ1#37L 61-66-0.9
12-29vsUtah ValleyQ3#144W 85-63+12.1
01-05@San José StateQ3#215W 78-69+5.2
01-09vsColorado StateQ2#47W 65-58+2.7
01-12@NevadaQ1#38W 64-56-5.2
01-16vsUNLVQ2#74L 64-68+9.1
01-20vsSan Diego StateQ1#24W 67-66+2.5
01-23@Fresno StateQ3#197W 72-68+9.4
01-27vsUtah StateQ2#50L 84-90+2.5
01-31@New MexicoQ1#31W 86-78-7.7
02-03vsAir ForceQ4#217W 94-56+13.4
02-06@Colorado StateQ1#47L 62-75-2.3
02-10@Utah StateQ1#50L 61-80-3.9
02-17vsFresno StateQ4#197W 90-66+14.8
02-20vsSan José StateQ4#215W 82-50+16.8
02-24@WyomingQ3#160W 92-72+8.9
02-27@Air ForceQ3#217W 79-48+11.3
03-02vsNew MexicoQ2#31W 89-79+4.0
03-05vsNevadaQ2#38L 66-76+4.6
03-08@San Diego StateQ1#24W 79-77-4.8
03-14nNew MexicoQ1#31L 66-76+0.9
03-20nColoradoQ1#25L 53-60-0.1

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.