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Boise State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Mountain West · 23-10 · AdjEM +16.1, 34 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
+16.134 of 363
AdjO
107.771 of 363
AdjD
91.619 of 363
AdjT
68.5233 of 363

Boise State went from +10.2 (#58) on 2022-11-06 to +16.1 (#33) on 2023-04-03, peaking at +18.6 (#17) on 2023-01-30.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 33 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.6%112
TOV%
15.6%74
OREB%
25.7%205
FTA/FGA
30.3%215
Opp eFG%
47.5%48
Opp TOV%
16.5%211
DREB%
78.2%18
Opp FTA/FGA
27.6%76

Résumé23-10 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
+7.070 of 363
Non-conference
+3.689 of 363
Luck
+0.3%174 of 363
Wins above bubble
+1.338 of 363
Quad 1
3-5
Quad 2
8-3
Quad 3
8-2
Quad 4
4-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Max RiceG3434.414.04.61.853.0%56.3%—40.9%88.0%
Tyson DegenhartF3434.214.15.31.859.0%60.3%—32.8%67.8%
Naje SmithF3428.410.25.61.357.6%59.8%—38.5%67.7%
Marcus Shaver Jr.G2932.613.46.23.842.0%48.4%—27.1%74.8%
Jace WhitingG3315.83.11.71.348.5%49.1%—32.6%62.5%
Lukas MilnerC3313.43.22.70.460.6%59.3%—0.0%51.4%
Kobe YoungG278.21.41.70.351.5%53.0%—30.0%66.7%
Pavle KuzmanovicG238.01.90.50.447.5%49.7%—38.1%66.7%
Sadraque NgaNgaF176.52.01.50.355.2%56.8%—36.4%100.0%
Mohamed SyllaC185.71.81.20.052.4%58.7%——73.3%
Burke SmithF103.40.91.10.129.2%31.3%—25.0%40.0%
Sam WinterG32.30.00.00.3—————

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games23-10

“Ours” is our projected margin for Boise State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-09vsSouth Dakota StateQ3#159L 66-68+3.5
11-12nWashington StateQ2#66W 71-61-1.7
11-17nCharlotteQ3#105L 42-54+3.6
11-18nLoyola ChicagoQ4#218W 70-48+2.0
11-20nColoradoQ2#75W 68-55+1.7
11-26vsUtah ValleyQ2#65W 87-69+9.9
11-29vsCal State NorthridgeQ4#336W 55-46+22.7
12-03nTexas A&MQ1#28W 86-71+0.1
12-10@Saint LouisQ2#88W 57-52-2.1
12-13vsNew OrleansQ4#340W 91-50+27.3
12-18vsOaklandQ4#264W 77-57+22.9
12-22@Santa ClaraQ2#90L 58-73+3.6
12-28@NevadaQ1#74L 72-74-1.5
01-03vsSan José StateQ3#118W 67-64+12.1
01-07vsUtah StateQ1#24W 82-59+1.5
01-11@UNLVQ2#95W 84-66-0.5
01-14@WyomingQ3#156W 85-68+4.7
01-17vsNevadaQ2#74W 77-62+6.8
01-20@New MexicoQ2#80L 79-81+0.7
01-24vsFresno StateQ3#132W 63-53+13.8
01-28vsColorado StateQ3#101W 80-59+11.7
01-31@Air ForceQ3#150W 59-52+7.7
02-03@San Diego StateQ1#16L 52-72-2.9
02-11vsWyomingQ3#156W 75-63+15.4
02-15@Colorado StateQ2#101W 80-78+4.3
02-19vsUNLVQ3#95W 73-69+10.1
02-22vsNew MexicoQ3#80W 82-77+8.1
02-25@San José StateQ2#118L 68-74+5.7
02-28vsSan Diego StateQ1#16W 66-60+2.6
03-04@Utah StateQ1#24L 73-86-3.3
03-09nUNLVQ2#95W 87-76+6.6
03-10nUtah StateQ1#24L 62-72-0.4
03-16nNorthwesternQ1#39L 67-75+1.4

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.