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San Diego State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Mountain West · 24-11 · AdjEM +19.8, 24 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
+19.824 of 362
AdjO
111.355 of 362
AdjD
91.512 of 362
AdjT
69.5207 of 362

San Diego State went from +17.8 (#23) on 2023-11-05 to +19.8 (#24) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +21.7 (#19) on 2024-02-26.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 35 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
49.9%219
TOV%
15.1%113
OREB%
31.1%62
FTA/FGA
36.7%78
Opp eFG%
47.3%32
Opp TOV%
16.5%129
DREB%
72.9%181
Opp FTA/FGA
33.1%196

Résumé24-11 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
+11.232 of 362
Non-conference
+12.44 of 362
Luck
+1.0%151 of 362
Wins above bubble
+2.719 of 362
Quad 1
4-10
Quad 2
7-1
Quad 3
9-0
Quad 4
4-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Jaedon LeDeeF3632.621.48.41.358.1%62.6%30.7%44.4%73.4%
Lamont ButlerG3727.69.32.63.047.4%49.3%20.4%30.2%59.4%
Micah ParrishG3727.59.34.11.946.6%49.8%19.0%29.2%73.7%
Darrion TrammellG3527.77.82.53.246.6%51.2%16.7%32.5%81.8%
Reese WatersG3725.69.63.71.247.7%52.5%20.4%34.3%90.3%
Elijah SaundersF3720.26.23.60.851.8%54.6%16.4%32.2%96.0%
Jay PalF3717.15.14.20.849.6%54.8%17.6%30.6%70.1%
Miles ByrdG3414.14.02.50.947.5%51.4%17.5%31.1%84.6%
Miles HeideF378.71.92.20.163.3%59.5%11.9%0.0%36.8%
Shay Johnson Jr.F164.80.40.90.142.9%32.0%8.9%—0.0%
BJ DavisG125.41.20.40.123.3%36.3%18.4%9.1%77.8%
Cam LawinG92.40.70.10.141.7%40.4%17.3%25.0%33.3%
Cade AlgerF92.20.40.60.114.3%25.2%25.6%0.0%100.0%
Ryan SchwarzG72.90.00.40.00.0%0.0%23.1%0.0%—
Tyler BroughtonG119.02.01.01.020.0%20.0%16.2%0.0%—
Desai LopezG32.70.00.30.00.0%0.0%12.8%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games24-11

“Ours” is our projected margin for San Diego State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06vsCal State FullertonQ4#213W 83-57+14.8
11-10@BYUQ1#16L 65-74-1.5
11-14vsLong Beach StateQ4#171W 88-76+15.6
11-17nSaint Mary'sQ1#14W 79-54-0.8
11-19nWashingtonQ2#65W 100-97+6.3
11-25nCaliforniaQ3#132W 76-67+19.2
12-01@UC San DiegoQ3#139W 63-62+14.3
12-05@Grand CanyonQ1#55L 73-79+3.0
12-09vsUC IrvineQ3#78W 63-62+10.6
12-21vsStanfordQ3#98W 74-60+12.1
12-29@GonzagaQ1#12W 84-74-5.4
01-03vsFresno StateQ4#197W 74-47+18.6
01-06vsUNLVQ2#74W 72-61+12.3
01-09@San José StateQ3#215W 81-78+9.0
01-13@New MexicoQ1#31L 70-88-1.0
01-17vsNevadaQ2#38W 71-59+5.8
01-20@Boise StateQ1#32L 66-67-2.5
01-23vsWyomingQ3#160W 81-65+19.2
01-30@Colorado StateQ1#47L 71-79+0.2
02-03vsUtah StateQ2#50W 81-67+5.1
02-06@Air ForceQ3#217W 77-64+12.4
02-09@NevadaQ1#38L 66-70+0.5
02-13vsColorado StateQ2#47W 71-55+6.3
02-16vsNew MexicoQ2#31W 81-70+4.7
02-20@Utah StateQ1#50L 63-68-0.1
02-24@Fresno StateQ3#197W 73-41+12.1
02-27vsSan José StateQ4#215W 72-64+21.3
03-05@UNLVQ1#74L 58-62+3.7
03-08vsBoise StateQ2#32L 77-79+4.8
03-14@UNLVQ1#74W 74-71+3.0
03-15nUtah StateQ1#50W 86-70+2.4
03-16nNew MexicoQ1#31L 61-68+1.8
03-22nUABQ3#105W 69-65+8.9
03-24nYaleQ2#80W 85-57+6.4
03-28nUConnQ1#1L 52-82-9.0

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.