Boise State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Mountain West · 25-11 · AdjEM +18.8, 41 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →

AdjEM: +18.841 of 364
AdjO: 116.230 of 364
AdjD: 97.559 of 364
AdjT: 67.4302 of 364

Boise State went from +15.1 (#58) on 2024-11-03 to +18.8 (#41) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +23.0 (#21) on 2024-11-18.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 36 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 52.6%94
TOV%: 14.9%99
OREB%: 31.1%84
FTA/FGA: 37.6%45
Opp eFG%: 50.4%152
Opp TOV%: 15.3%232
DREB%: 80.1%1
Opp FTA/FGA: 31.4%139

Résumé25-11 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength: +7.285 of 364
Non-conference: +5.261 of 364
Luck: -3.0%246 of 364
Wins above bubble: -0.853 of 364

Quad 1: 4-6
Quad 2: 6-3
Quad 3: 5-2
Quad 4: 10-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Alvaro CardenasG	37	34.8	11.5	3.1	6.9	50.1%	54.3%	19.8%	31.8%	76.8%
Tyson DegenhartF	37	33.5	18.3	6.1	1.6	58.8%	63.6%	24.8%	34.9%	79.7%
Andrew MeadowF	37	29.2	12.6	4.2	0.6	55.2%	61.3%	20.1%	35.2%	83.9%
Javan BuchananF	37	20.8	9.6	3.8	0.6	57.8%	61.4%	21.9%	31.9%	81.3%
RJ Keene IIG	36	18.7	2.1	4.5	1.5	45.4%	49.0%	7.4%	22.0%	68.2%
O'Mar StanleyF	37	17.0	6.6	4.6	0.6	44.9%	49.9%	24.5%	16.7%	67.0%
Julian BowieG	35	13.2	3.9	1.5	0.9	49.2%	51.2%	18.1%	33.3%	91.7%
Pearson CarmichaelF	22	16.7	6.9	2.5	0.9	52.3%	54.5%	23.2%	31.6%	77.3%
Emmanuel UgboF	36	10.0	3.1	2.3	0.2	51.2%	56.1%	17.6%	22.7%	78.8%
Chris Lockett Jr.G	24	12.5	3.1	1.4	0.9	41.0%	45.5%	16.7%	27.5%	72.7%
Dylan AndersonC	24	10.1	3.5	1.7	0.8	57.7%	58.7%	19.1%	38.5%	66.7%
Brennan RamirezG	5	1.4	0.0	0.6	0.0	0.0%	0.0%	22.6%	0.0%	—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games25-11

“Ours” is our projected margin for Boise State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-06	vsOakland	Q4#190	W 87-43	+13.5	69	11-04
11-09	@San Francisco	Q1#62	L 73-84	-2.5	69	11-04
11-17	vsClemson	Q1#23	W 84-71	+3.1	69	11-11
11-24	nHampton	Q4#242	W 83-69	+30.3	70	11-18
11-25	nSouth Dakota State	Q3#138	W 83-82	+16.7	70	11-18
11-26	nBoston College	Q3#165	L 61-63	+10.2	70	11-25
12-03	vsUtah Tech	Q4#289	W 87-64	+24.7	70	12-02
12-07	vsWashington State	Q3#103	L 69-74	+8.2	70	12-02
12-14	nSaint Mary's	Q1#22	W 67-65	-0.7	68	12-09
12-17	vsTexas Southern	Q4#274	W 82-51	+24.7	70	12-16
12-21	vsAir Force	Q4#282	W 77-59	+20.0	67	12-16
12-28	@San José State	Q3#167	W 73-71	+11.4	69	12-23
12-31	@Wyoming	Q3#180	W 67-58	+7.4	69	12-30
01-04	vsSan Diego State	Q2#56	L 68-76	+2.1	69	12-30
01-07	vsUNLV	Q3#93	W 81-59	+8.6	68	01-06
01-11	@Utah State	Q1#50	L 79-81	-4.4	71	01-06
01-14	vsWyoming	Q4#180	W 96-55	+14.7	68	01-13
01-17	@New Mexico	Q1#47	L 65-84	-0.8	72	01-13
01-22	@Colorado State	Q1#44	L 72-75	+0.9	69	01-20
01-29	vsNevada	Q2#67	W 66-56	+6.5	67	01-27
02-01	vsFresno State	Q4#257	W 82-60	+21.9	71	01-27
02-04	@UNLV	Q2#93	W 71-62	+4.1	68	02-03
02-07	vsSan José State	Q4#167	W 79-52	+15.8	68	02-03
02-15	@San Diego State	Q1#56	L 45-64	-1.2	68	02-10
02-19	vsNew Mexico	Q2#47	W 86-78	+3.9	72	02-17
02-22	@Nevada	Q1#67	W 70-69	+0.0	67	02-17
02-26	vsUtah State	Q2#50	W 82-65	+3.0	69	02-24
03-01	@Fresno State	Q4#257	W 66-61	+16.5	71	02-24
03-04	@Air Force	Q4#282	W 80-57	+16.1	67	03-03
03-07	vsColorado State	Q2#44	L 73-83	+5.6	68	03-03
03-13	nSan Diego State	Q2#56	W 62-52	+0.5	68	03-10
03-14	nNew Mexico	Q1#47	W 72-69	+0.7	72	03-10
03-15	nColorado State	Q1#44	L 56-69	+1.4	68	03-10
03-31	nGeorge Washington	Q3#147	W 89-59	+11.6	69	03-24
04-02	nButler	Q2#70	W 100-93	+4.4	69	03-31
04-05	nNebraska	Q2#52	L 69-79	+2.8	69	03-31

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.