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Cal State Fullerton

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big West · 12-18 · AdjEM -4.0, 213 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
-4.0213 of 362
AdjO
99.0265 of 362
AdjD
103.0145 of 362
AdjT
68.1293 of 362

Cal State Fullerton went from +1.5 (#148) on 2023-11-05 to -4.0 (#213) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +1.5 (#148) on 2023-11-05.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
48.0%280
TOV%
17.5%289
OREB%
23.1%293
FTA/FGA
38.6%42
Opp eFG%
49.9%141
Opp TOV%
17.1%93
DREB%
72.0%224
Opp FTA/FGA
35.6%259

Résumé12-18 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
-1.0167 of 362
Non-conference
+2.5123 of 362
Luck
-2.8%242 of 362
Wins above bubble
-12.2243 of 362
Quad 1
0-4
Quad 2
0-1
Quad 3
4-7
Quad 4
8-6

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
DJ BrewtonG3133.017.04.82.448.9%51.7%—33.0%68.2%
Grayson CarperG3225.36.84.30.557.0%59.0%—38.5%87.0%
Max JonesG2427.515.33.01.946.1%53.8%—38.5%78.7%
Donovan OdayG3218.47.12.00.746.9%52.7%—29.8%76.6%
Beril KabambaF2917.03.63.50.841.1%48.0%—19.2%68.6%
Vincent LeeF2813.74.52.20.366.3%65.2%——55.6%
Kendrick De LunaF3011.91.41.60.148.7%41.9%——14.3%
Antwan RobinsonG1915.04.31.80.445.7%47.8%—32.2%87.5%
Jalen CooperF2013.53.43.00.656.6%55.3%—40.0%43.8%
Zachary VisentinC256.21.91.00.153.3%59.3%——72.7%
Keith RichardG610.23.00.50.733.3%41.3%—22.2%75.0%
Landon SeamanF127.010.06.01.040.0%42.0%——50.0%
Trevor WilliamsG36.00.70.70.00.0%22.6%—0.0%66.7%
Sydney ShippG24.50.00.51.0—————

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games12-18

“Ours” is our projected margin for Cal State Fullerton, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06@San Diego StateQ1#24L 57-83-14.8
11-16@UCFQ1#58L 44-72-10.3
11-19nCornellQ3#104L 70-88-3.6
11-20nSouthern MissQ4#235W 74-67-1.1
11-26@NebraskaQ1#40L 72-85-13.2
12-01vsNorth DakotaQ4#247W 64-54+7.7
12-06@PepperdineQ3#185W 60-55-5.7
12-09@Sacramento StateQ4#313W 62-60+0.5
12-17@Boise StateQ1#32L 65-88-14.1
12-20vsPacificQ4#356W 67-56+16.9
12-28vsLong Beach StateQ4#171L 71-81-1.0
12-30@Hawai'iQ3#158W 63-61-7.5
01-04@UC IrvineQ2#78L 67-75-15.3
01-06vsUC San DiegoQ3#139L 58-76+2.9
01-13@Cal State NorthridgeQ4#250L 71-76-6.1
01-18vsUC DavisQ4#170L 65-67-1.0
01-20@UC Santa BarbaraQ3#178W 73-69-7.3
01-25@Cal PolyQ4#342W 54-51+5.9
01-27vsCal State BakersfieldQ4#258W 68-50+7.0
02-01vsHawai'iQ3#158L 68-76+2.1
02-08@UC DavisQ3#170L 58-71-6.7
02-10@Cal State BakersfieldQ4#258L 71-73+0.3
02-15vsUC RiversideQ4#232L 73-81+5.2
02-17@UC San DiegoQ3#139L 69-76-9.1
02-22vsCal PolyQ4#342W 68-50+13.2
02-24vsCal State NorthridgeQ4#250L 60-65+4.5
02-29@Long Beach StateQ3#171W 76-71-7.0
03-02vsUC Santa BarbaraQ4#178W 79-70+0.2
03-07@UC RiversideQ3#232L 74-84-1.2
03-09vsUC IrvineQ3#78L 71-81-7.2

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.