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Saint Mary's

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

WCC · 24-8 · AdjEM +23.8, 14 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
+23.814 of 362
AdjO
113.236 of 362
AdjD
89.45 of 362
AdjT
65.1356 of 362

Saint Mary's went from +21.3 (#13) on 2023-11-05 to +23.8 (#14) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +24.4 (#10) on 2024-02-19.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
52.5%77
TOV%
14.5%77
OREB%
36.9%4
FTA/FGA
27.9%309
Opp eFG%
44.9%4
Opp TOV%
15.3%220
DREB%
81.5%1
Opp FTA/FGA
33.7%211

Résumé24-8 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
+4.9100 of 362
Non-conference
+8.029 of 362
Luck
-8.1%334 of 362
Wins above bubble
+0.742 of 362
Quad 1
4-3
Quad 2
4-3
Quad 3
6-1
Quad 4
10-1

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players13 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Aidan MahaneyG3433.213.92.62.648.2%50.6%23.9%35.5%81.3%
Augustas MarciulionisG3433.112.43.35.349.3%53.6%21.5%34.3%76.3%
Alex DucasG3428.29.95.61.961.2%62.3%16.7%43.8%77.4%
Mitchell SaxenC3428.211.87.61.554.4%56.4%22.6%0.0%61.2%
Joshua JeffersonF2625.010.26.52.350.4%53.1%23.4%26.7%73.1%
Luke BarrettF3417.15.53.50.754.4%58.3%15.9%28.8%77.6%
Mason ForbesF3316.45.32.60.469.8%63.2%15.2%33.3%33.9%
Chris HowellG3110.61.51.40.735.2%38.5%11.5%18.8%66.7%
Harry WesselsC299.24.23.40.362.8%65.8%21.7%—77.4%
Jordan RossG286.01.31.00.839.5%38.4%18.6%16.7%27.3%
Cade BennettG204.00.90.60.847.4%47.4%13.2%28.6%—
Kevin GadF152.11.30.50.150.0%50.0%33.0%35.7%—
Rory HawkeG64.53.81.00.2100.0%96.6%27.1%100.0%75.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games24-8

“Ours” is our projected margin for Saint Mary's, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-09vsNew MexicoQ2#31W 72-58+7.8
11-12vsWeber StateQ4#163L 57-61+18.6
11-17nSan Diego StateQ1#24L 54-79+0.8
11-19nXavierQ2#61L 49-66+3.3
11-24vsDavidsonQ3#127W 89-55+8.4
11-27vsUtahQ2#44L 71-78+1.7
12-01nBoise StateQ1#32L 60-63+3.5
12-05vsCleveland StateQ4#207W 70-57+15.2
12-09@Colorado StateQ1#47W 64-61-7.9
12-16nUNLVQ2#74W 69-67+8.9
12-19vsMiddle TennesseeQ4#278W 71-34+18.5
12-21vsNorthern KentuckyQ4#214W 92-56+15.4
12-23vsMissouri StateQ3#141L 64-69+9.7
12-29vsKent StateQ3#156W 66-46+11.4
01-04@San DiegoQ4#245W 81-70+12.4
01-06@Loyola MarymountQ3#159W 68-64+7.2
01-11vsPortlandQ4#288W 95-52+22.2
01-13@Santa ClaraQ2#101W 73-49+3.5
01-20@San FranciscoQ1#53W 77-60-1.1
01-25vsPacificQ4#356W 76-28+32.8
01-27vsLoyola MarymountQ3#159W 70-65+16.8
01-31vsSanta ClaraQ3#101W 82-77+13.8
02-03@GonzagaQ1#12W 64-62-2.0
02-06@PacificQ4#356W 84-43+25.4
02-10@PortlandQ4#288W 76-51+19.3
02-15vsPepperdineQ4#185W 103-59+21.3
02-20vsSan FranciscoQ2#53W 70-66+9.4
02-24vsSan DiegoQ4#245W 88-62+23.8
02-29@PepperdineQ3#185W 83-57+15.4
03-02vsGonzagaQ1#12L 57-70+5.0
03-12nGonzagaQ1#12W 69-60-0.1
03-22nGrand CanyonQ2#55L 66-75+6.8

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.