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VCU

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

A-10 · 24-14 · AdjEM +12.1, 71 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
+12.171 of 362
AdjO
107.8109 of 362
AdjD
95.736 of 362
AdjT
67.8304 of 362

VCU went from +13.9 (#51) on 2023-11-05 to +12.1 (#71) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +13.9 (#51) on 2023-11-05.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 38 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.8%109
TOV%
17.3%278
OREB%
26.5%178
FTA/FGA
35.0%117
Opp eFG%
46.8%21
Opp TOV%
15.3%227
DREB%
74.9%104
Opp FTA/FGA
34.1%224

Résumé24-14 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
+5.693 of 362
Non-conference
+5.751 of 362
Luck
-2.0%225 of 362
Wins above bubble
-4.090 of 362
Quad 1
2-4
Quad 2
5-5
Quad 3
10-3
Quad 4
7-2

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Max ShulgaG3732.914.04.63.657.8%64.3%21.2%41.5%87.6%
Zeb JacksonG3629.711.44.43.346.5%50.8%23.6%30.0%83.1%
Sean BairstowG2532.910.04.73.743.1%47.7%19.9%25.4%81.4%
Christian FerminF3821.45.24.00.557.0%59.9%13.4%—66.7%
Jason NelsonG3719.84.91.51.745.2%49.3%16.8%33.3%79.1%
Tobi LawalF3818.97.76.00.367.6%68.2%19.8%42.9%66.7%
Joe BamisileG2823.313.13.40.653.2%55.9%29.7%37.0%74.3%
Kuany KuanyF3816.75.72.40.554.1%59.2%17.9%38.0%88.2%
Michael BelleF3815.33.22.70.738.8%45.0%16.1%25.0%73.3%
Alphonzo Billups IIIG2712.44.91.20.656.5%58.0%21.6%40.3%75.0%
Roosevelt WheelerC154.80.60.70.057.1%53.4%13.0%—33.3%
Connor OdomG11.00.00.00.00.0%0.0%53.8%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games24-14

“Ours” is our projected margin for VCU, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06vsMcNeeseQ3#91L 65-76+22.5
11-10vsSamfordQ3#103W 75-65+10.3
11-15vsRadfordQ4#219W 73-50+8.4
11-18vsSeattle UQ3#110W 60-56+7.8
11-23nIowa StateQ1#8L 64-68-11.8
11-24nBoise StateQ1#32L 61-65-1.1
11-26nPenn StateQ2#69W 86-74-3.4
12-01vsNorfolk StateQ4#198L 60-63+16.6
12-06vsMemphisQ2#63L 80-85+0.3
12-10vsAlcorn StateQ4#297W 86-58+18.1
12-16vsTempleQ4#193W 87-78+13.8
12-22vsMaryland Eastern ShoreQ4#344W 75-51+24.4
12-30vsGardner-WebbQ4#199W 87-73+14.7
01-03vsSt. BonaventureQ3#92L 78-89+4.5
01-06vsGeorge WashingtonQ4#194L 82-84+13.0
01-09@George MasonQ2#100W 54-50-4.5
01-13@La SalleQ3#212W 71-65+5.4
01-19vsSaint LouisQ4#180W 85-61+12.5
01-23vsLoyola ChicagoQ3#102W 74-67+9.0
01-27@DavidsonQ2#127W 63-58+2.1
01-30@St. BonaventureQ2#92L 62-67-3.6
02-03vsRichmondQ3#84W 63-52+3.8
02-06@FordhamQ3#173W 75-60+4.9
02-09vsDaytonQ1#26W 49-47-2.2
02-16@Saint LouisQ3#180W 95-85+7.3
02-20@MassachusettsQ2#107L 52-74+0.6
02-25vsSaint Joseph'sQ3#94W 73-69+6.8
02-28vsRhode IslandQ4#239W 88-67+15.6
03-02@RichmondQ2#84L 76-79-2.5
03-05vsDuquesneQ3#97L 59-69+7.0
03-08@DaytonQ1#26L 86-91-8.0
03-13nFordhamQ3#173W 69-62+8.8
03-14nMassachusettsQ3#107W 73-59+2.7
03-16nSaint Joseph'sQ2#94W 66-60+2.4
03-17nDuquesneQ2#97L 51-57+3.1
03-20@VillanovaQ1#30W 70-61-7.8
03-24@South FloridaQ2#90W 70-65-1.4
03-27@UtahQ1#44L 54-74-6.0

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.