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Illinois

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Ten · 22-13 · AdjEM +26.0, 17 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
+26.017 of 364
AdjO
120.115 of 364
AdjD
94.230 of 364
AdjT
73.124 of 364

Illinois went from +22.0 (#18) on 2024-11-03 to +26.0 (#17) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +29.9 (#8) on 2025-01-20.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 35 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
52.4%98
TOV%
15.4%145
OREB%
35.0%14
FTA/FGA
34.4%139
Opp eFG%
47.4%32
Opp TOV%
11.4%360
DREB%
76.9%20
Opp FTA/FGA
26.9%38

Résumé22-13 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
+15.415 of 364
Non-conference
+8.828 of 364
Luck
-5.7%296 of 364
Wins above bubble
+3.727 of 364
Quad 1
9-11
Quad 2
7-2
Quad 3
0-0
Quad 4
6-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Kylan BoswellG3531.012.34.83.448.0%54.0%20.5%24.5%79.0%
Kasparas JakucionisG3331.815.05.74.751.9%59.0%24.2%31.8%84.5%
Ben HumrichousF3525.87.63.80.950.4%51.9%14.2%34.3%70.6%
Will RileyF3525.612.64.12.249.7%53.2%23.9%32.6%72.4%
Tomislav IvisicC3226.813.07.72.357.9%59.7%21.9%35.7%75.0%
Tre WhiteG3223.410.55.50.855.8%61.3%19.2%32.9%82.4%
Morez Johnson Jr.F3017.77.06.70.364.2%64.4%16.4%—61.8%
Dra Gibbs-LawhornG3514.95.91.60.551.4%54.4%19.3%25.5%80.6%
Jake DavisF329.53.01.40.354.1%54.1%14.9%34.4%50.0%
Carey BoothF215.11.21.00.036.4%37.2%18.0%24.0%50.0%
AJ ReddG141.80.20.60.120.0%19.1%16.6%—16.7%
Keaton KutcherG131.60.40.20.141.7%41.7%13.4%20.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games22-13

“Ours” is our projected margin for Illinois, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-04vsEastern IllinoisQ4#328W 112-67+29.1
11-08vsSIU EdwardsvilleQ4#234W 90-58+27.4
11-13vsOaklandQ4#190W 66-54+27.0
11-20nAlabamaQ1#6L 87-100-4.0
11-23vsMaryland Eastern ShoreQ4#360W 87-40+36.8
11-25vsLittle RockQ4#226W 92-34+24.0
11-28nArkansasQ1#40W 90-77+7.5
12-06@NorthwesternQ1#49L 66-70+5.9
12-10vsWisconsinQ1#19W 86-80+10.5
12-14vsTennesseeQ1#5L 64-66-3.0
12-22nMissouriQ1#28W 80-77+7.6
12-29vsChicago StateQ4#359W 117-64+38.3
01-02@OregonQ1#31W 109-77-0.9
01-05@WashingtonQ2#100W 81-77+9.1
01-08vsPenn StateQ2#68W 91-52+14.9
01-11vsUSCQ2#60L 72-82+16.5
01-14@IndianaQ1#54W 94-69+6.9
01-19@Michigan StateQ1#12L 78-80-0.9
01-23vsMarylandQ1#15L 70-91+9.0
01-26vsNorthwesternQ2#49W 83-74+12.7
01-30@NebraskaQ1#52L 74-80+6.5
02-02vsOhio StateQ2#37W 87-79+7.2
02-05@RutgersQ2#77L 73-82+8.3
02-08@MinnesotaQ2#89W 95-74+11.4
02-11vsUCLAQ1#20W 83-78+5.8
02-15vsMichigan StateQ1#12L 65-79+5.3
02-18@WisconsinQ1#19L 74-95-2.1
02-22nDukeQ1#1L 67-110-8.3
02-25vsIowaQ2#63W 81-61+11.6
03-02@MichiganQ1#27W 93-73-1.7
03-07vsPurdueQ1#14W 88-80+3.4
03-13nIowaQ2#63W 106-94+9.6
03-14nMarylandQ1#15L 65-88+0.8
03-21nXavierQ1#46W 86-73+5.4
03-23nKentuckyQ1#13L 75-84-0.7

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.