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Chicago State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

NEC · 4-28 · AdjEM -24.3, 359 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-24.3359 of 364
AdjO
88.9361 of 364
AdjD
113.3331 of 364
AdjT
71.0104 of 364

Chicago State went from -13.9 (#317) on 2024-11-03 to -24.3 (#359) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -11.4 (#298) on 2024-11-04.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
44.4%358
TOV%
17.2%268
OREB%
19.9%346
FTA/FGA
26.8%334
Opp eFG%
54.9%341
Opp TOV%
16.9%106
DREB%
68.8%320
Opp FTA/FGA
36.9%281

Résumé4-28 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
-4.4249 of 364
Non-conference
+6.348 of 364
Luck
-2.7%238 of 364
Wins above bubble
-22.7362 of 364
Quad 1
0-4
Quad 2
0-4
Quad 3
0-5
Quad 4
4-15

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players15 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Matthew RobinsonG3229.65.92.11.346.0%47.0%12.6%33.3%60.9%
Jalen ForrestG3129.812.64.61.345.2%50.5%24.9%31.3%74.0%
Gabe SpinelliG3129.69.53.13.245.7%48.0%21.1%38.5%60.0%
Noble CrawfordF3026.09.54.02.047.5%50.2%24.0%35.2%69.8%
Saxby SunderlandG2920.85.72.11.442.6%50.0%17.5%28.3%80.3%
Quincy AllenG2023.68.95.20.842.6%44.5%24.4%23.5%76.2%
Troy McKoy Jr.G2419.57.32.50.642.1%46.9%23.2%25.8%80.0%
Dailliss CoxF2715.24.02.90.445.2%47.8%15.8%25.0%71.4%
CJ DelancyF3111.22.32.20.337.7%40.7%16.0%50.0%76.9%
Cameron JerniganF1617.65.84.10.347.0%47.5%22.4%31.3%48.1%
Greg SpateG148.42.40.60.247.1%48.6%19.0%33.3%100.0%
Joe SpinelliG204.10.60.40.236.4%42.6%9.4%22.2%75.0%
Doyel Cockrill IIIG235.013.01.04.040.0%40.8%28.0%23.5%50.0%
Michael BrownF154.30.30.60.122.7%22.7%11.1%16.7%—
Alex RaifordG162.40.30.20.116.7%20.1%14.5%12.5%50.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games4-28

“Ours” is our projected margin for Chicago State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-04@Loyola ChicagoQ2#110L 72-79-19.8
11-09vsYoungstown StateQ4#192L 60-80-4.3
11-12@TexasQ1#35L 58-105-30.0
11-16@San FranciscoQ1#62L 37-82-23.8
11-19vsEastern KentuckyQ4#193L 66-86-9.3
11-22@Indiana StateQ3#169L 61-97-19.6
11-25nRadfordQ3#176L 48-63-9.4
11-26nDrexelQ3#174L 71-83-17.3
11-30@WisconsinQ1#19L 53-74-34.9
12-02@St. Thomas-MinnesotaQ2#121L 76-98-21.4
12-08@Saint LouisQ2#107L 62-85-18.5
12-15@MercerQ4#261L 63-75-14.1
12-19@Grand CanyonQ2#92L 51-74-25.0
12-21@Cal State NorthridgeQ3#142L 57-81-19.7
12-29@IllinoisQ1#17L 64-117-38.3
01-03@WagnerQ4#340W 64-52-8.5
01-05@Long Island UniversityQ4#295L 39-53-6.5
01-12vsStonehillQ4#327L 52-68-1.9
01-18vsLe MoyneQ4#351W 88-72-0.4
01-20vsFairleigh DickinsonQ4#306L 48-58-3.3
01-24@StonehillQ4#327L 73-75-9.4
01-26@Central ConnecticutQ3#189L 64-81-16.0
02-01vsLong Island UniversityQ4#295W 73-67-2.3
02-06vsMercyhurstQ4#330W 85-78+0.1
02-08vsSt. Francis (PA)Q4#317L 69-81-0.5
02-13@Fairleigh DickinsonQ4#306L 49-91-8.4
02-15@Le MoyneQ4#351L 75-80-4.2
02-20vsCentral ConnecticutQ4#189L 75-81-11.9
02-22vsWagnerQ4#340L 52-64+0.6
02-27@MercyhurstQ4#330L 68-90-8.0
03-01@St. Francis (PA)Q4#317L 71-80-9.2
03-05@Long Island UniversityQ4#295L 57-68-11.9

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.