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Illinois

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Ten · 29-9 · AdjEM +24.1, 13 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
+24.113 of 362
AdjO
120.66 of 362
AdjD
96.548 of 362
AdjT
72.354 of 362

Illinois went from +17.5 (#24) on 2023-11-05 to +24.1 (#13) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +24.8 (#12) on 2024-03-25.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 38 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
53.6%49
TOV%
14.1%57
OREB%
34.1%19
FTA/FGA
37.1%69
Opp eFG%
48.0%49
Opp TOV%
11.7%359
DREB%
76.1%52
Opp FTA/FGA
26.7%34

Résumé29-9 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
+12.016 of 362
Non-conference
+6.544 of 362
Luck
+2.9%116 of 362
Wins above bubble
+6.58 of 362
Quad 1
10-8
Quad 2
6-1
Quad 3
8-0
Quad 4
5-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Marcus DomaskF3834.615.95.03.949.6%55.0%—29.7%87.2%
Coleman HawkinsG3531.612.16.12.754.4%58.0%—36.9%79.2%
Quincy GuerrierF3824.29.66.10.355.6%56.3%—37.4%56.9%
Ty RodgersG3822.76.25.32.052.7%53.9%——58.5%
Luke GoodeF3820.15.73.60.656.7%57.4%—38.9%65.2%
Justin HarmonG3818.75.62.71.146.7%52.1%—30.6%91.5%
Dain DainjaF3810.76.13.60.266.9%64.1%——47.7%
Dra Gibbs-LawhornG287.12.40.90.439.5%41.1%—22.2%66.7%
Amani HansberryF197.52.42.10.350.0%51.3%—30.8%66.7%
Niccolo MorettiG185.91.50.80.675.0%72.4%—66.7%64.3%
AJ ReddG101.90.30.20.050.0%38.5%——25.0%
Max WilliamsG101.50.30.30.00.0%38.5%—0.0%75.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games29-9

“Ours” is our projected margin for Illinois, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06vsEastern IllinoisQ4#321W 80-52+28.3
11-10vsOaklandQ3#146W 64-53+17.6
11-14vsMarquetteQ1#15L 64-71-0.5
11-17vsValparaisoQ4#302W 87-64+26.2
11-19vsSouthernQ4#267W 88-60+17.6
11-24vsWestern IllinoisQ4#266W 84-52+22.9
12-02@RutgersQ2#99W 76-58-3.1
12-05nFlorida AtlanticQ1#46W 98-89-4.5
12-09@TennesseeQ1#5L 79-86-9.9
12-17vsColgateQ3#121W 74-57+13.3
12-22nMissouriQ3#115W 97-73+7.5
12-29vsFairleigh DickinsonQ4#317W 104-71+30.3
01-02vsNorthwesternQ2#39W 96-66+10.1
01-05@PurdueQ1#3L 78-83-11.3
01-11vsMichigan StateQ1#21W 71-68+6.8
01-14vsMarylandQ2#68L 67-76+14.5
01-18@MichiganQ2#111W 88-73+4.0
01-21vsRutgersQ3#99W 86-63+13.6
01-24@NorthwesternQ1#39L 91-96+3.4
01-27vsIndianaQ3#79W 70-62+13.8
01-30@Ohio StateQ1#48W 87-75+2.7
02-04vsNebraskaQ2#40W 87-84+10.5
02-10@Michigan StateQ1#21L 80-88-2.3
02-13vsMichiganQ3#111W 97-68+13.7
02-17@MarylandQ1#68W 85-80+3.5
02-21@Penn StateQ1#69L 89-90+5.8
02-24vsIowaQ2#60W 95-85+11.9
02-28vsMinnesotaQ3#89W 105-97+13.4
03-02@WisconsinQ1#22W 91-83-1.4
03-05vsPurdueQ1#3L 71-77-2.6
03-10@IowaQ1#60W 73-61+3.5
03-15nOhio StateQ1#48W 77-74+5.8
03-16nNebraskaQ1#40W 98-87+4.8
03-17nWisconsinQ1#22W 93-87+2.7
03-21nMorehead StateQ3#117W 85-69+12.7
03-23nDuquesneQ2#97W 89-63+11.0
03-28nIowa StateQ1#8W 72-69-1.3
03-30nUConnQ1#1L 52-77-6.5

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.