Kentucky

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

SEC · 24-12 · AdjEM +26.5, 13 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →

AdjEM: +26.513 of 364
AdjO: 122.48 of 364
AdjD: 95.944 of 364
AdjT: 72.736 of 364

Kentucky went from +27.1 (#10) on 2024-11-03 to +26.5 (#13) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +33.1 (#7) on 2024-11-25.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 36 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 55.9%22
TOV%: 14.1%44
OREB%: 26.3%226
FTA/FGA: 35.2%114
Opp eFG%: 50.3%150
Opp TOV%: 13.5%332
DREB%: 74.9%58
Opp FTA/FGA: 30.7%119

Résumé24-12 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength: +18.03 of 364
Non-conference: +9.525 of 364
Luck: +2.2%141 of 364
Wins above bubble: +6.410 of 364

Quad 1: 11-11
Quad 2: 3-1
Quad 3: 3-0
Quad 4: 7-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players15 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Otega OwehG	36	28.3	16.2	4.7	1.7	52.4%	57.7%	26.9%	35.5%	77.6%
Koby BreaG	36	28.0	11.6	3.2	1.3	61.8%	63.6%	16.8%	43.5%	91.4%
Andrew CarrF	35	24.0	10.3	4.7	1.7	59.3%	62.7%	18.5%	32.4%	74.8%
Amari WilliamsC	36	22.8	10.9	8.5	3.2	56.3%	58.7%	24.8%	25.0%	62.3%
Lamont ButlerG	27	26.0	11.4	2.9	4.3	56.2%	60.1%	21.6%	39.1%	73.5%
Jaxson RobinsonG	24	28.0	13.0	3.5	1.7	55.3%	56.9%	21.6%	37.6%	76.3%
Brandon GarrisonF	35	17.3	5.9	3.9	1.9	54.5%	54.7%	18.5%	30.0%	53.5%
Ansley AlmonorF	36	14.2	5.3	1.6	0.5	66.5%	69.8%	13.7%	42.4%	90.6%
Collin ChandlerG	30	10.4	2.7	1.0	0.7	47.9%	51.8%	16.4%	34.7%	86.7%
Travis PerryG	31	9.8	2.7	0.8	0.6	42.5%	46.9%	17.8%	32.1%	80.0%
Trent NoahF	24	11.1	2.7	1.9	0.4	56.9%	58.4%	11.7%	33.3%	75.0%
Kerr KriisaG	9	17.3	4.4	2.4	3.8	39.5%	43.2%	17.4%	26.3%	85.7%
Walker HornG	5	0.8	0.0	0.0	0.2	—	—	0.0%	—	—
Grant DarbyshireG	2	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0%	—	—
Zach TowF	2	0.5	0.0	0.0	0.0	—	—	0.0%	—	—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games24-12

“Ours” is our projected margin for Kentucky, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-04	vsWright State	Q4#206	W 103-62	+23.5	73	11-03
11-09	vsBucknell	Q4#201	W 100-72	+26.4	71	11-04
11-12	nDuke	Q1#1	W 77-72	+1.9	72	11-11
11-19	vsLipscomb	Q3#98	W 97-68	+25.4	73	11-18
11-22	vsJackson State	Q4#273	W 108-59	+39.3	73	11-18
11-26	vsWestern Kentucky	Q4#170	W 87-68	+26.6	75	11-25
11-29	vsGeorgia State	Q4#244	W 105-76	+31.0	72	11-25
12-03	@Clemson	Q1#23	L 66-70	+4.1	72	12-02
12-07	nGonzaga	Q1#7	W 90-89	-2.3	74	12-02
12-11	vsColgate	Q4#223	W 78-67	+29.0	71	12-09
12-14	vsLouisville	Q2#34	W 93-85	+15.6	73	12-09
12-21	nOhio State	Q1#37	L 65-85	+4.9	72	12-16
12-31	vsBrown	Q4#196	W 88-54	+22.3	72	12-30
01-04	vsFlorida	Q1#4	W 106-100	+1.7	73	12-30
01-07	@Georgia	Q1#45	L 69-82	+3.7	71	01-06
01-11	@Mississippi State	Q1#36	W 95-90	-1.8	72	01-06
01-14	vsTexas A&M	Q1#29	W 81-69	+5.3	72	01-13
01-18	vsAlabama	Q1#6	L 97-102	-0.5	75	01-13
01-25	@Vanderbilt	Q1#57	L 69-74	+4.6	72	01-20
01-28	@Tennessee	Q1#5	W 78-73	-8.8	70	01-27
02-01	vsArkansas	Q2#40	L 79-89	+12.2	72	01-27
02-04	@Ole Miss	Q1#30	L 84-98	+0.2	72	02-03
02-08	vsSouth Carolina	Q3#87	W 80-57	+14.9	70	02-03
02-11	vsTennessee	Q1#5	W 75-64	-3.0	69	02-10
02-15	@Texas	Q1#35	L 78-82	-0.9	71	02-10
02-19	vsVanderbilt	Q2#57	W 82-61	+11.0	72	02-17
02-22	@Alabama	Q1#6	L 83-96	-6.5	74	02-17
02-26	@Oklahoma	Q1#43	W 83-82	+4.5	71	02-24
03-01	vsAuburn	Q1#3	L 78-94	-4.3	71	02-24
03-04	vsLSU	Q3#82	W 95-64	+13.5	72	03-03
03-08	@Missouri	Q1#28	W 91-83	-1.1	71	03-03
03-13	nOklahoma	Q1#43	W 85-84	+6.7	71	03-10
03-14	nAlabama	Q1#6	L 70-99	-3.7	74	03-10
03-21	nTroy	Q2#97	W 76-57	+13.6	71	03-17
03-23	nIllinois	Q1#17	W 84-75	+0.7	73	03-17
03-28	nTennessee	Q1#5	L 65-78	-4.7	69	03-24

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.