Little Rock

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

OVC · 17-14 · AdjEM -5.4, 226 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →

AdjEM: -5.4226 of 364
AdjO: 98.3290 of 364
AdjD: 103.7145 of 364
AdjT: 68.3259 of 364

Little Rock went from -5.8 (#230) on 2024-11-03 to -5.4 (#226) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -2.1 (#186) on 2025-02-10.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →

eFG%: 49.5%248
TOV%: 18.4%323
OREB%: 29.4%127
FTA/FGA: 29.0%298
Opp eFG%: 46.7%20
Opp TOV%: 19.8%17
DREB%: 67.4%344
Opp FTA/FGA: 37.9%300

Résumé17-14 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength: -8.8343 of 364
Non-conference: -0.4209 of 364
Luck: -3.5%256 of 364
Wins above bubble: -10.9201 of 364

Quad 1: 0-2
Quad 2: 0-1
Quad 3: 3-2
Quad 4: 14-9

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players12 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →

Player	G	MPG	PPG	RPG	APG	eFG%	TS%	USG%	3P%	FT%
Johnathan LawsonG	33	37.2	15.4	5.2	3.6	54.1%	57.6%	21.4%	42.9%	79.3%
Mwani WilkinsonG	33	33.2	13.2	7.1	1.0	51.1%	53.7%	21.0%	37.6%	84.7%
Isaiah LewisG	33	31.1	9.4	3.6	3.0	40.0%	43.1%	22.7%	28.7%	77.2%
Ante BeljanF	33	28.1	10.1	4.5	1.9	57.1%	59.2%	20.4%	—	64.8%
Tuongthach GatkekF	30	29.3	9.1	6.3	2.3	56.8%	57.5%	16.8%	—	58.0%
Jordan JeffersonG	23	24.2	10.2	2.3	0.8	50.6%	55.1%	22.2%	38.7%	75.0%
Caleb PennyfeatherF	26	12.5	2.4	2.2	0.7	45.5%	48.5%	13.8%	0.0%	61.9%
Christian HughesG	21	8.3	1.0	0.9	0.3	38.0%	39.5%	11.2%	20.0%	50.0%
Travonne JacksonG	6	22.8	7.2	2.2	1.0	53.2%	54.4%	19.1%	38.5%	55.6%
Creed WilliamsonF	12	10.4	3.3	1.6	1.1	43.2%	44.2%	22.0%	—	46.7%
Kristiyan PopovG	17	7.2	0.9	0.8	0.3	28.6%	28.6%	14.3%	0.0%	—
Nikola MilosevicF	10	5.4	0.8	0.7	0.2	40.0%	40.0%	14.4%	28.6%	—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games17-14

“Ours” is our projected margin for Little Rock, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

Date	Opponent	Quad	Result	Ours	Pace	Snapshot
11-09	@Winthrop	Q3#172	L 67-82	-6.1	70	11-04
11-12	@Arkansas State	Q2#91	L 63-80	-14.4	72	11-11
11-16	@UTSA	Q3#198	W 81-64	-2.3	72	11-11
11-20	@Tulsa	Q3#232	W 71-57	-5.5	73	11-18
11-22	@Arkansas	Q1#40	L 67-79	-16.4	71	11-18
11-25	@Illinois	Q1#17	L 34-92	-24.0	72	11-18
11-27	vsMaryland Eastern Shore	Q4#360	W 78-59	+19.7	70	11-25
12-04	vsCentral Arkansas	Q4#352	W 63-57	+13.8	70	12-02
12-15	vsUIC	Q4#164	L 69-77	+3.4	71	12-09
12-19	vsSIU Edwardsville	Q4#234	W 60-56	+3.8	69	12-16
01-02	@UT Martin	Q4#309	W 57-56	-0.2	70	12-30
01-04	@Tennessee State	Q4#252	L 86-95	+2.6	71	12-30
01-09	vsMorehead State	Q4#304	L 53-59	+6.1	69	01-06
01-12	vsSouthern Indiana	Q4#336	W 78-58	+9.0	70	01-06
01-14	@Southeast Missouri State	Q3#230	W 73-71	+1.2	70	01-13
01-18	@Tennessee Tech	Q4#285	W 77-71	-1.0	70	01-13
01-23	@Western Illinois	Q4#337	W 62-51	+5.3	67	01-20
01-25	@Lindenwood	Q4#333	W 78-46	+5.6	70	01-20
01-27	nEastern Illinois	Q4#328	L 54-56	+9.2	69	01-20
01-30	vsTennessee State	Q4#252	L 70-72	+8.6	71	01-27
02-01	vsUT Martin	Q4#309	W 75-57	+9.1	70	01-27
02-06	@Southern Indiana	Q4#336	W 74-56	+5.5	69	02-03
02-08	@Morehead State	Q4#304	W 76-62	+0.3	67	02-03
02-11	vsSoutheast Missouri State	Q4#230	L 45-57	+7.0	69	02-10
02-13	vsTennessee Tech	Q4#285	W 79-75	+7.8	69	02-10
02-20	vsLindenwood	Q4#333	L 92-93	+13.1	69	02-17
02-22	vsWestern Illinois	Q4#337	W 75-61	+13.4	67	02-17
02-27	@Eastern Illinois	Q4#328	L 60-71	+6.3	68	02-24
03-01	@SIU Edwardsville	Q3#234	L 65-73	-1.0	69	02-24
03-06	nUT Martin	Q4#309	W 82-77	+6.2	70	03-03
03-07	nSoutheast Missouri State	Q4#230	L 59-78	+0.9	69	03-03

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.