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Illinois

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Ten · 28-7 · AdjEM +27.9, 4 of 364 nationally.

2025-26 seasonthrough ratings as of 2026-04-06most recent completed season — 2026-27 has no ratings yet

Adjusted ratingas of 2026-04-06

Every team →
AdjEM
+27.94 of 364
AdjO
125.01 of 364
AdjD
97.017 of 364
AdjT
68.8252 of 364

Illinois went from +11.2 (#3) on 2025-11-10 to +27.9 (#4) on 2026-04-06, peaking at +28.3 (#4) on 2026-03-30.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2025-11-102026-04-06

Four factorsraw season rates · 35 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
54.8%42
TOV%
12.6%15
OREB%
110.4%122
FTA/FGA
34.0%205
Opp eFG%
46.9%21
Opp TOV%
10.7%364
DREB%
-15.1%254
Opp FTA/FGA
18.6%1

Games28-7

“Ours” is our projected margin for Illinois, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentResultOurs
11-03vsJackson StateW 113-55—
11-07vsFlorida Gulf CoastW 113-70—
11-11vsTexas TechW 81-77+19.3
11-14vsColgateW 84-65+24.8
11-19vsAlabamaL 86-90+16.0
11-22vsLong Island UniversityW 98-58+17.1
11-24vsUT Rio Grande ValleyW 87-73+15.8
11-28@UConnL 61-74-8.0
12-06@TennesseeW 75-62-7.1
12-09@Ohio StateW 88-80-4.3
12-13vsNebraskaL 80-83+8.6
12-22vsMissouriW 91-48+10.0
12-29vsSouthernW 90-55+26.7
01-03@Penn StateW 73-65+8.2
01-08vsRutgersW 81-55+22.3
01-11@IowaW 75-69-4.0
01-14@NorthwesternW 79-68+3.9
01-17vsMinnesotaW 77-67+15.7
01-21vsMarylandW 89-70+21.5
01-24@PurdueW 88-82-3.9
01-29vsWashingtonW 75-66+13.4
02-01@NebraskaW 78-69-3.7
02-04vsNorthwesternW 84-44+14.0
02-07@Michigan StateL 82-85-2.8
02-10vsWisconsinL 90-92+13.7
02-15vsIndianaW 71-51+9.7
02-18@USCW 101-65+7.7
02-21@UCLAL 94-95+5.0
03-03vsOregonW 80-54+20.4
03-08@MarylandW 78-72+16.2
03-19vsPennsylvaniaW 105-70+20.2
03-21vsVCUW 76-55+11.7
03-26@HoustonW 65-55-2.2
03-28vsIowaW 71-59+9.3
04-04@UConnL 62-71+0.1

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.