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Illinois

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Ten · 20-13 · AdjEM +16.2, 32 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
+16.232 of 363
AdjO
108.366 of 363
AdjD
92.024 of 363
AdjT
72.046 of 363

Illinois went from +12.9 (#32) on 2022-11-06 to +16.2 (#32) on 2023-04-03, peaking at +19.6 (#14) on 2022-12-05.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 33 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.4%129
TOV%
17.6%228
OREB%
30.7%59
FTA/FGA
34.3%91
Opp eFG%
46.7%24
Opp TOV%
17.2%154
DREB%
75.9%76
Opp FTA/FGA
30.1%152

Résumé20-13 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
+8.451 of 363
Non-conference
+0.8165 of 363
Luck
-3.0%253 of 363
Wins above bubble
+0.346 of 363
Quad 1
3-10
Quad 2
7-3
Quad 3
3-0
Quad 4
7-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Coleman HawkinsG3332.59.96.33.050.7%52.2%—28.0%61.4%
Matthew MayerF3326.512.55.31.150.9%54.6%—33.0%74.1%
Jayden EppsG3124.69.51.81.548.3%50.8%—30.1%77.8%
RJ MelendezF3221.56.03.50.944.7%49.8%—26.4%83.3%
Dain DainjaF3320.69.55.50.563.6%62.0%——52.5%
Ty RodgersG3317.53.34.01.051.6%50.1%—0.0%38.7%
Sencire HarrisG3314.53.72.10.948.3%46.4%—31.7%20.0%
Skyy ClarkG1324.47.03.72.151.4%54.2%—33.3%69.6%
Luke GoodeF1013.84.01.60.461.3%62.6%—42.1%100.0%
Brandon LiebF163.60.91.10.158.3%52.2%——20.0%
Connor ServenF54.00.20.80.00.0%25.6%—0.0%50.0%
Paxton WardenG101.50.20.00.025.0%25.0%—0.0%—
AJ ReddG21.00.00.00.00.0%0.0%———
Zacharie PerrinF12.00.00.00.0—0.0%——0.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games20-13

“Ours” is our projected margin for Illinois, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07vsEastern IllinoisQ4#348W 87-57+26.6
11-11vsKansas CityQ4#313W 86-48+15.6
11-14vsMonmouthQ4#347W 103-65+13.5
11-18nUCLAQ1#5W 79-70-2.8
11-20nVirginiaQ1#30L 61-70+1.0
11-25vsLindenwoodQ4#334W 92-59+23.9
11-29vsSyracuseQ3#115W 73-44+16.7
12-02@MarylandQ1#29L 66-71-4.1
12-06nTexasQ1#7W 85-78-2.3
12-10vsPenn StateQ2#43L 59-74+9.6
12-17vsAlabama A&MQ4#316W 68-47+28.6
12-22nMissouriQ2#60L 71-93+6.5
12-29vsBethune-CookmanQ4#354W 85-52+30.2
01-04@NorthwesternQ1#39L 60-73-1.3
01-07vsWisconsinQ2#72W 79-69+6.5
01-10@NebraskaQ2#97W 76-50+1.6
01-13vsMichigan StateQ2#36W 75-66+6.1
01-16@MinnesotaQ3#214W 78-60+8.7
01-19vsIndianaQ2#35L 65-80+5.4
01-24vsOhio StateQ2#37W 69-60+2.0
01-28@WisconsinQ1#72W 61-51+0.1
01-31vsNebraskaQ3#97W 72-56+12.7
02-04@IowaQ1#42L 79-81-2.3
02-11vsRutgersQ2#40W 69-60+3.7
02-14@Penn StateQ1#43L 81-93+0.6
02-18@IndianaQ1#35L 68-71-3.4
02-20vsMinnesotaQ4#214W 78-69+19.4
02-23vsNorthwesternQ2#39W 66-62+5.1
02-26@Ohio StateQ1#37L 60-72-1.3
03-02vsMichiganQ2#48W 91-87+5.5
03-05@PurdueQ1#8L 71-76-9.6
03-09nPenn StateQ1#43L 76-79+2.3
03-16nArkansasQ1#14L 63-73-2.3

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.