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Purdue

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Ten · 29-6 · AdjEM +24.1, 8 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
+24.18 of 363
AdjO
116.07 of 363
AdjD
91.922 of 363
AdjT
66.1338 of 363

Purdue went from +16.1 (#17) on 2022-11-06 to +24.1 (#8) on 2023-04-03, peaking at +26.1 (#2) on 2022-11-28.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 35 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.8%102
TOV%
16.3%113
OREB%
37.7%1
FTA/FGA
37.2%37
Opp eFG%
47.2%39
Opp TOV%
13.8%348
DREB%
79.8%4
Opp FTA/FGA
19.2%1

Résumé29-6 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
+9.238 of 363
Non-conference
+2.0135 of 363
Luck
+4.6%73 of 363
Wins above bubble
+8.27 of 363
Quad 1
13-3
Quad 2
6-2
Quad 3
5-0
Quad 4
5-1

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players13 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Zach EdeyC3431.722.312.91.560.7%63.9%33.0%—73.4%
Braden SmithG3530.39.74.24.451.7%58.6%18.0%37.6%86.8%
Fletcher LoyerG3528.911.01.72.445.4%50.0%22.4%32.6%79.4%
Ethan MortonG3525.23.82.92.442.2%45.3%10.7%27.7%64.9%
Mason GillisF3220.46.83.81.357.7%61.1%17.0%35.6%79.6%
Caleb FurstF3518.35.54.60.755.0%56.0%15.8%26.8%59.2%
Brandon NewmanG3517.76.03.11.145.7%49.7%21.1%31.0%74.5%
David Jenkins Jr.G3415.23.91.30.848.7%50.6%16.2%35.0%66.7%
Trey Kaufman-RennF3511.44.51.80.751.7%54.8%22.8%25.0%64.4%
Brian WaddellF178.10.50.60.415.8%22.0%10.2%0.0%100.0%
Carson BarrettG52.21.20.60.475.0%75.0%28.9%——
Chase MartinG41.80.50.50.333.3%33.3%30.3%0.0%—
Sam KingF41.50.00.30.0——8.8%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games29-6

“Ours” is our projected margin for Purdue, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-08vsMilwaukeeQ4#240W 84-53+26.1
11-11vsAustin PeayQ4#327W 63-44+24.6
11-15vsMarquetteQ1#19W 75-70+10.9
11-24nWest VirginiaQ1#25W 80-68+0.1
11-25nGonzagaQ1#6W 84-66-7.5
11-27nDukeQ1#13W 75-56-4.1
11-30@Florida StateQ3#203W 79-69+17.3
12-04vsMinnesotaQ4#214W 89-70+26.0
12-07vsHofstraQ3#82W 85-66+18.6
12-10@NebraskaQ2#97W 65-62+7.5
12-17nDavidsonQ3#138W 69-61+15.4
12-21vsNew OrleansQ4#340W 74-53+36.2
12-29vsFlorida A&MQ4#356W 82-49+34.4
01-02vsRutgersQ2#40L 64-65+9.9
01-05@Ohio StateQ1#37W 71-69-2.4
01-08@Penn StateQ1#43W 76-63+3.3
01-13vsNebraskaQ3#97W 73-55+16.5
01-16@Michigan StateQ1#36W 64-63+4.4
01-19@MinnesotaQ3#214W 61-39+13.9
01-22vsMarylandQ1#29W 58-55+11.2
01-26@MichiganQ1#48W 75-70+6.0
01-29vsMichigan StateQ2#36W 77-61+11.3
02-01vsPenn StateQ2#43W 80-60+11.5
02-04@IndianaQ1#35L 74-79+1.6
02-09vsIowaQ2#42W 87-73+10.4
02-12@NorthwesternQ1#39L 58-64+4.7
02-16@MarylandQ1#29L 54-68+2.3
02-19vsOhio StateQ2#37W 82-55+10.8
02-25vsIndianaQ2#35L 71-79+9.3
03-02@WisconsinQ1#72W 63-61+5.8
03-05vsIllinoisQ2#32W 76-71+9.6
03-10nRutgersQ1#40W 70-65+6.9
03-11nOhio StateQ1#37W 80-66+7.2
03-12nPenn StateQ1#43W 67-65+7.7
03-17nFairleigh DickinsonQ4#286L 58-63+25.8

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.