Skip to content

Ohio State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Ten · 16-19 · AdjEM +15.5, 37 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
+15.537 of 363
AdjO
113.219 of 363
AdjD
97.787 of 363
AdjT
68.1259 of 363

Ohio State went from +12.4 (#34) on 2022-11-06 to +15.5 (#37) on 2023-04-03, peaking at +21.1 (#13) on 2023-01-02.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 35 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
52.0%92
TOV%
15.1%47
OREB%
29.6%88
FTA/FGA
26.6%326
Opp eFG%
48.9%97
Opp TOV%
14.7%319
DREB%
73.8%168
Opp FTA/FGA
28.1%96

Résumé16-19 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
+10.515 of 363
Non-conference
+0.6172 of 363
Luck
-12.0%360 of 363
Wins above bubble
-3.396 of 363
Quad 1
5-13
Quad 2
5-5
Quad 3
0-0
Quad 4
6-1

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players13 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Bruce ThorntonG3530.510.62.72.652.5%54.8%18.7%37.5%72.9%
Justice SueingF3530.312.35.21.846.2%50.6%24.1%28.9%75.0%
Sean McNeilG3529.19.72.01.353.6%56.4%17.0%36.9%88.9%
Brice SensabaughF3324.516.35.41.255.5%58.8%33.8%40.5%83.0%
Isaac LikekeleG3221.83.84.02.839.9%41.1%13.4%27.3%47.2%
Zed KeyF2524.910.87.50.856.6%58.8%22.1%29.2%65.9%
Roddy Gayle Jr.G3516.34.61.60.951.4%53.7%16.3%42.9%81.0%
Felix OkparaF3515.54.03.60.359.1%59.7%12.9%20.0%61.5%
Eugene Brown IIIF2210.02.21.50.262.5%63.7%11.0%37.5%66.7%
Kalen EtzlerF93.20.81.30.143.8%43.8%18.0%20.0%—
Owen SpencerF72.70.41.30.316.7%21.6%24.6%—50.0%
Bowen HardmanG72.71.70.00.075.0%75.0%22.0%50.0%—
Colby BaumannG32.00.01.00.30.0%0.0%26.1%0.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games16-19

“Ours” is our projected margin for Ohio State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07vsRobert MorrisQ4#247W 91-53+18.3
11-10vsCharleston SouthernQ4#319W 82-56+25.4
11-16vsEastern IllinoisQ4#348W 65-43+28.7
11-21nSan Diego StateQ1#16L 77-88+0.5
11-22nCincinnatiQ2#63W 81-53+6.1
11-23nTexas TechQ1#41W 80-73-2.7
11-30@DukeQ1#13L 72-81-6.3
12-03vsSt. Francis (PA)Q4#328W 96-59+26.3
12-08vsRutgersQ2#40W 67-66+7.2
12-17nNorth CarolinaQ1#38L 84-89+0.5
12-21vsMaineQ4#297W 95-61+23.8
12-29vsAlabama A&MQ4#316W 90-59+27.6
01-01@NorthwesternQ1#39W 73-57-0.5
01-05vsPurdueQ1#8L 69-71+2.4
01-08@MarylandQ1#29L 73-80+0.9
01-12vsMinnesotaQ4#214L 67-70+20.4
01-15@RutgersQ1#40L 64-68-1.9
01-18@NebraskaQ2#97L 60-63+5.4
01-21vsIowaQ2#42W 93-77+6.1
01-24@IllinoisQ1#32L 60-69-2.0
01-28@IndianaQ1#35L 70-86-2.7
02-02vsWisconsinQ2#72L 60-65+9.2
02-05@MichiganQ1#48L 69-77+1.9
02-09vsNorthwesternQ2#39L 63-69+6.2
02-12vsMichigan StateQ2#36L 41-62+6.1
02-16@IowaQ1#42L 75-92-4.2
02-19@PurdueQ1#8L 55-82-10.8
02-23vsPenn StateQ2#43L 71-75+4.3
02-26vsIllinoisQ2#32W 72-60+1.3
03-01vsMarylandQ1#29W 73-62+1.0
03-04@Michigan StateQ1#36L 78-84-4.5
03-08nWisconsinQ2#72W 65-57+2.3
03-09nIowaQ1#42W 73-69-0.7
03-10nMichigan StateQ1#36W 68-58-1.0
03-11nPurdueQ1#8L 66-80-7.2

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.