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Penn State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big Ten · 23-14 · AdjEM +14.7, 43 of 363 nationally.

2022-23 seasonthrough ratings as of 2023-04-0323 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2023-04-03

Every team →
AdjEM
+14.743 of 363
AdjO
113.516 of 363
AdjD
98.8102 of 363
AdjT
67.0314 of 363

Penn State went from +7.4 (#85) on 2022-11-06 to +14.7 (#43) on 2023-04-03, peaking at +14.8 (#39) on 2022-12-19.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2022-11-062023-04-03

Four factorsraw season rates · 37 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
55.4%10
TOV%
12.7%4
OREB%
17.7%356
FTA/FGA
21.3%361
Opp eFG%
49.1%108
Opp TOV%
12.4%361
DREB%
75.5%94
Opp FTA/FGA
25.5%35

Résumé23-14 · against the ratings of 2023-04-03

Schedule strength
+10.516 of 363
Non-conference
+2.7115 of 363
Luck
+3.9%87 of 363
Wins above bubble
+1.833 of 363
Quad 1
8-9
Quad 2
5-5
Quad 3
4-0
Quad 4
6-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players17 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Jalen PickettG3736.517.77.46.655.2%57.7%27.2%38.1%76.3%
Andrew FunkG3734.512.53.01.160.4%62.2%17.9%41.2%86.7%
Seth LundyG3631.714.26.30.957.5%60.9%22.3%40.0%80.7%
Camren WynterG3728.18.92.92.054.4%56.7%18.5%40.2%73.0%
Myles DreadG3721.55.52.00.957.8%58.1%13.6%38.4%66.7%
Kebba NjieF3714.33.43.50.552.5%54.0%16.1%20.0%59.5%
Arterio MorrisG3811.84.61.40.550.7%53.3%23.7%33.3%78.6%
Kanye ClaryG3210.43.70.90.745.6%47.8%24.3%29.4%70.0%
Evan MahaffeyF349.32.81.70.460.0%60.0%16.5%33.3%57.1%
Michael HennF298.62.41.10.660.5%60.3%16.8%41.9%50.0%
Dallion JohnsonG238.82.00.70.345.2%45.2%15.9%29.7%—
Caleb DorseyF1612.02.32.20.443.2%45.3%14.4%33.3%62.5%
Jameel BrownG144.60.91.00.225.0%32.7%18.0%14.3%80.0%
Demetrius LilleyC52.80.80.40.066.7%45.2%25.9%—0.0%
Dan ConlanG62.00.00.20.00.0%0.0%14.1%——
Andy ChristosG21.50.00.00.00.0%0.0%18.8%0.0%—
Ishaan JagiasiG21.50.00.00.5——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games23-14

“Ours” is our projected margin for Penn State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-07vsWinthropQ4#232W 93-68+7.5
11-10vsLoyola MarylandQ4#314W 90-65+12.1
11-14vsButlerQ3#119W 68-62+6.8
11-17nFurmanQ2#85W 73-68+0.5
11-18nVirginia TechQ2#64L 59-61-3.3
11-20nColorado StateQ3#101W 68-56+0.5
11-25vsLafayetteQ4#243W 70-57+17.0
11-29@ClemsonQ1#58L 94-101-1.9
12-07vsMichigan StateQ2#36L 58-67+8.2
12-10@IllinoisQ1#32W 74-59-9.6
12-18vsCanisiusQ4#245W 97-67+19.4
12-22vsQuinnipiacQ4#175W 77-68+14.8
12-29vsDelaware StateQ4#355W 60-46+29.6
01-01vsIowaQ2#42W 83-79+4.2
01-04@MichiganQ1#48L 69-79-3.4
01-08vsPurdueQ1#8L 63-76-3.3
01-11vsIndianaQ2#35W 85-66+0.7
01-17@WisconsinQ1#72L 60-63-2.4
01-21vsNebraskaQ3#97W 76-65+9.6
01-24@RutgersQ1#40L 45-65-5.6
01-29vsMichiganQ2#48W 83-61+5.3
02-01@PurdueQ1#8L 60-80-11.5
02-05@NebraskaQ2#97L 63-72+2.3
02-08vsWisconsinQ2#72L 74-79+5.3
02-11@MarylandQ1#29L 68-74-6.6
02-14vsIllinoisQ2#32W 93-81-0.6
02-18@MinnesotaQ3#214W 76-69+7.3
02-23@Ohio StateQ1#37W 75-71-4.3
02-26vsRutgersQ2#40L 56-59+1.0
03-01@NorthwesternQ1#39W 68-65-4.6
03-05vsMarylandQ1#29W 65-64+0.3
03-09nIllinoisQ1#32W 79-76-2.3
03-10nNorthwesternQ1#39W 67-65-1.0
03-11nIndianaQ1#35W 77-73-1.8
03-12nPurdueQ1#8L 65-67-7.7
03-16nTexas A&MQ1#28W 76-59-2.9
03-18nTexasQ1#7L 66-71-7.3

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 363 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.