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San Diego State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Mountain West · 20-10 · AdjEM +16.3, 56 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
+16.356 of 364
AdjO
108.0114 of 364
AdjD
91.814 of 364
AdjT
68.7233 of 364

San Diego State went from +16.7 (#46) on 2024-11-03 to +16.3 (#56) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +20.5 (#33) on 2025-01-06.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 30 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
50.5%193
TOV%
15.2%126
OREB%
26.8%213
FTA/FGA
32.3%195
Opp eFG%
45.9%10
Opp TOV%
17.8%75
DREB%
71.6%223
Opp FTA/FGA
37.4%294

Résumé20-10 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
+10.262 of 364
Non-conference
+16.12 of 364
Luck
+5.0%79 of 364
Wins above bubble
+0.447 of 364
Quad 1
4-7
Quad 2
5-2
Quad 3
3-1
Quad 4
8-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Nick BoydG3129.813.43.93.949.1%53.6%25.2%35.1%74.6%
Miles ByrdG3030.012.34.42.746.6%51.8%23.6%30.1%83.2%
BJ DavisG3124.09.03.01.251.5%54.7%20.2%35.9%78.2%
Jared Coleman-JonesF2925.57.35.01.049.2%51.0%17.1%34.0%59.3%
Magoon GwathF2625.08.55.20.755.7%57.1%18.9%37.8%63.0%
Taj DeGourvilleG3119.05.12.91.843.9%47.6%18.3%30.4%71.4%
Wayne McKinney IIIG3118.56.41.50.645.5%47.5%20.7%31.9%62.8%
Miles HeideF3016.64.13.70.575.0%68.5%12.1%33.3%31.0%
Pharaoh ComptonF3013.25.42.40.464.5%60.2%21.4%—38.0%
Kimo FerrariG216.01.60.90.367.4%68.3%10.9%47.4%75.0%
Shay Johnson Jr.F154.51.10.70.072.7%68.4%12.9%—33.3%
Ryan SchwarzG72.10.60.10.137.5%40.4%17.4%25.0%50.0%
Cam LawinG62.30.50.70.016.7%15.8%39.5%14.3%0.0%
Desai LopezG62.20.00.30.00.0%0.0%20.1%0.0%0.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games20-10

“Ours” is our projected margin for San Diego State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06vsUC San DiegoQ2#48W 63-58+13.3
11-18vsGonzagaQ1#7L 67-80-7.5
11-26nCreightonQ1#26W 71-53-2.7
11-27nOregonQ1#31L 68-78-2.2
11-30nHoustonQ1#2W 73-70-16.9
12-04@Fresno StateQ4#257W 84-62+16.4
12-07vsSan DiegoQ4#301W 74-57+24.3
12-11vsCalifornia BaptistQ4#175W 81-75+20.5
12-21nCaliforniaQ3#114W 71-50+9.3
12-28vsUtah StateQ2#50L 66-67+5.2
01-04@Boise StateQ1#41W 76-68-2.1
01-08vsAir ForceQ4#282W 67-38+22.2
01-11@New MexicoQ1#47L 48-62+1.9
01-14vsColorado StateQ2#44W 75-60+8.7
01-18vsUNLVQ3#93L 68-76+11.9
01-22@Air ForceQ4#282W 77-76+15.0
01-25@NevadaQ1#67W 69-50-0.5
01-28vsSan José StateQ4#167W 69-68+17.4
02-01vsWyomingQ4#180W 63-61+16.9
02-08@Colorado StateQ1#44L 63-68+0.3
02-11@San José StateQ3#167W 69-66+9.1
02-15vsBoise StateQ2#41W 64-45+1.2
02-18vsFresno StateQ4#257W 83-60+21.9
02-22@Utah StateQ1#50L 71-79-2.9
02-25vsNew MexicoQ2#47W 73-65+3.2
03-01@WyomingQ3#180W 72-69+9.6
03-04@UNLVQ2#93L 67-74+3.1
03-08vsNevadaQ2#67W 80-61+5.5
03-13nBoise StateQ1#41L 52-62-0.5
03-18nNorth CarolinaQ1#32L 68-95-2.8

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.