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California

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Pac-12 · 13-19 · AdjEM +3.9, 132 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
+3.9132 of 362
AdjO
105.8140 of 362
AdjD
101.9132 of 362
AdjT
70.9124 of 362

California went from -7.2 (#256) on 2023-11-05 to +3.9 (#132) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +5.5 (#120) on 2024-02-26.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 32 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
49.2%249
TOV%
15.0%105
OREB%
26.7%173
FTA/FGA
29.2%281
Opp eFG%
51.3%220
Opp TOV%
13.9%308
DREB%
76.0%58
Opp FTA/FGA
33.1%197

Résumé13-19 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
+9.561 of 362
Non-conference
+2.0137 of 362
Luck
+2.0%136 of 362
Wins above bubble
-7.9147 of 362
Quad 1
2-9
Quad 2
5-4
Quad 3
3-4
Quad 4
3-2

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players15 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Jalen ConeG3235.613.42.12.345.0%49.9%20.7%31.9%81.7%
Jaylon TysonF3134.419.66.83.551.8%55.7%30.3%36.0%79.6%
Fardaws AimaqF3232.114.511.02.148.4%51.3%26.0%30.2%65.0%
Keonte KennedyG2531.39.34.71.848.3%50.2%16.5%31.0%63.3%
Jalen CelestineG2726.98.73.20.958.9%60.5%14.9%44.0%71.8%
Grant NewellF3221.35.53.50.447.8%49.2%15.7%30.4%57.1%
Rodney Brown Jr.G3214.13.51.10.952.6%55.0%13.7%39.7%85.7%
Gus LarsonF287.01.41.10.152.0%58.0%10.9%44.4%70.0%
Devin AskewG624.36.24.22.534.4%45.1%17.9%14.3%78.9%
Monty BowserG1011.20.31.70.118.8%18.8%4.9%16.7%—
Devin CurtisF165.30.40.90.450.0%43.2%7.7%0.0%0.0%
ND OkaforC97.81.91.70.638.9%43.8%15.4%—100.0%
Vladimir PavlovicG76.10.90.30.350.0%50.0%8.2%0.0%—
Wrenn RobinsonG102.40.20.20.016.7%16.7%14.7%0.0%—
Jack McCloskeyG31.00.70.30.0—105.3%32.7%—100.0%

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games13-19

“Ours” is our projected margin for California, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06vsSt. Thomas-MinnesotaQ4#161W 71-66+1.5
11-10vsPacificQ4#356L 79-87+3.0
11-13vsCal State BakersfieldQ4#258W 83-63+6.1
11-16vsMontana StateQ4#188L 60-63-3.0
11-20nUTEPQ3#176L 72-75-4.2
11-22nTulaneQ3#131L 81-84-10.8
11-25nSan Diego StateQ1#24L 67-76-19.2
12-02vsSanta ClaraQ3#101W 84-69-4.4
12-09@ButlerQ1#73L 90-97-16.1
12-16nOle MissQ2#81L 78-88-7.5
12-20vsUC San DiegoQ3#139W 71-67+3.3
12-29vsArizonaQ1#4L 81-100-21.6
12-31vsArizona StateQ3#125L 69-71-1.2
01-03@USCQ1#70L 74-82-14.4
01-06@UCLAQ2#85W 66-57-12.6
01-10vsColoradoQ1#25W 82-78-7.0
01-13@OregonQ1#54L 73-80-14.3
01-18vsWashingtonQ2#65L 75-77-3.6
01-20vsWashington StateQ2#37W 81-75-5.9
01-26vsStanfordQ3#98W 73-71-0.7
02-01@ArizonaQ1#4L 65-91-23.2
02-03@Arizona StateQ2#125W 81-66-6.0
02-07vsUSCQ2#70W 83-77-1.6
02-10vsUCLAQ3#85L 60-61-0.2
02-15@Washington StateQ1#37L 65-84-11.9
02-17@WashingtonQ1#65W 82-80-9.1
02-22vsOregon StateQ4#164W 81-73+7.8
02-24vsOregonQ2#54W 69-64-2.3
02-28@ColoradoQ1#25L 78-88-12.2
03-02@UtahQ1#44L 59-88-10.3
03-07@StanfordQ2#98L 58-80-5.4
03-13nStanfordQ2#98L 76-87-2.9

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.