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UC San Diego

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big West · 19-12 · AdjEM +2.5, 139 of 362 nationally.

2023-24 seasonthrough ratings as of 2024-04-0824 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2024-04-08

Every team →
AdjEM
+2.5139 of 362
AdjO
107.8108 of 362
AdjD
105.4207 of 362
AdjT
68.3283 of 362

UC San Diego went from -7.9 (#264) on 2023-11-05 to +2.5 (#139) on 2024-04-08, peaking at +4.9 (#124) on 2024-02-26.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2023-11-052024-04-08

Four factorsraw season rates · 31 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
52.3%83
TOV%
13.3%23
OREB%
25.4%221
FTA/FGA
32.4%184
Opp eFG%
50.4%175
Opp TOV%
15.8%182
DREB%
75.0%99
Opp FTA/FGA
29.5%100

Résumé19-12 · against the ratings of 2024-04-08

Schedule strength
-3.1230 of 362
Non-conference
-2.7276 of 362
Luck
-1.0%200 of 362
Wins above bubble
-7.7143 of 362
Quad 1
0-1
Quad 2
0-4
Quad 3
6-3
Quad 4
13-4

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Bryce PopeG3335.618.33.91.949.0%52.9%27.6%33.2%81.7%
Hayden GrayG3332.79.04.23.852.1%56.3%15.6%34.3%83.1%
Francis NwaokorieF3331.411.35.50.955.0%59.2%18.5%34.0%79.4%
Aniwaniwa Tait-JonesG3329.713.85.82.957.7%62.2%23.6%34.6%73.1%
J'Raan BrooksF3320.25.53.60.955.2%56.5%15.5%39.7%64.7%
Tyler McGhieG2328.613.92.91.357.5%58.2%22.7%41.4%64.7%
Emmanuel TshimangaF2214.14.25.00.359.3%60.3%16.0%—59.6%
Camden McCormickG318.81.61.41.043.9%51.0%10.6%28.6%78.9%
Justin DeGraafF219.73.00.90.252.0%55.7%16.0%38.7%83.3%
Michael Pearson Jr.G137.42.50.80.242.4%45.2%21.7%32.0%80.0%
Aidan BurkeG146.11.90.90.161.4%60.1%15.6%38.5%0.0%
Quin PattersonG144.91.60.70.461.1%61.1%14.0%42.9%—
Cade PendletonF114.01.00.90.229.4%30.6%25.1%15.4%50.0%
Jake KosakowskiF114.00.00.00.00.0%0.0%15.1%0.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games19-12

“Ours” is our projected margin for UC San Diego, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-06vsDenverQ4#281W 95-87+6.1
11-11vsSan DiegoQ4#245W 69-63+3.7
11-18vsNavyQ4#308W 73-55+5.1
11-24nIdahoQ4#323L 70-73+10.3
11-26@Seattle UQ2#110L 67-79-6.1
11-28nWashingtonQ2#65L 56-83-11.9
12-01vsSan Diego StateQ1#24L 62-63-14.3
12-09@PepperdineQ3#185L 62-68-7.2
12-18@Sacramento StateQ4#313W 83-52-0.2
12-20@CaliforniaQ2#132L 67-71-3.3
12-28vsCal State BakersfieldQ4#258W 76-64+9.5
01-04@UC Santa BarbaraQ3#178W 79-72-6.7
01-06@Cal State FullertonQ3#213W 76-58-2.9
01-11vsLong Beach StateQ4#171W 88-74+3.5
01-13@Cal PolyQ4#342W 86-61+7.8
01-18@UC IrvineQ2#78L 65-76-10.4
01-20vsHawai'iQ3#158W 67-61+5.1
01-25vsUC RiversideQ4#232W 66-65+10.1
01-27@UC DavisQ3#170W 92-59-3.7
02-01vsCal State NorthridgeQ4#250W 83-62+11.3
02-03@Long Beach StateQ3#171L 76-85-1.2
02-08@Hawai'iQ3#158L 86-94+1.0
02-15vsUC Santa BarbaraQ4#178W 61-46+5.5
02-17vsCal State FullertonQ4#213W 76-69+9.1
02-22@UC RiversideQ3#232W 77-65+3.7
02-24vsUC IrvineQ3#78W 92-88-1.4
02-29@Cal State BakersfieldQ4#258L 57-70+5.4
03-02@Cal State NorthridgeQ4#250W 79-69+4.2
03-07vsUC DavisQ4#170L 63-70+7.0
03-09vsCal PolyQ4#342W 92-87+20.0
03-23nChicago StateQ4#301L 75-77+10.7

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 362 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.