Chart 2 of 3
What the game turns on
Turnover margin18 pts
Explosive-play edge11 pts
Red-zone TDs vs FGs8 pts
Field-position / special teams7 pts
How far each factor swings the win probability when it breaks one way vs the other. The top bar is the X-factor — the thing most worth watching.
GRIDPEX.COM
From Pittsburgh -16.2 turns on halftime: in 176 comparable games, favorites up 10 at the break went 99-0
Use this chart
Free to republish, in print or online, with a visible credit and a link back to Gridpex. The snippet below includes both.