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What separates Boise State and Memphis
◄MemphisfavorsBoise State►
Memphis
Returning productionhow much of last year's production is back this seasonBoise State +11
Quarterbackthe projected starter's quality and how settled the job isBoise State +5
Transfer portalnet proven talent gained vs lost in transfers — it raises or lowers a roster's projected strengthMemphis +4
In-season formschedule-adjusted results so far this seasonMemphis +3
Last season's body of worklast year's power rating, regressed toward the averageBoise State +1
Roster talentoverall talent level of the roster — recruiting pedigree plus an independent preseason roster gradeMemphis +1
Each ingredient of our projection and the side it favors — bars toward Boise State are why it's the pick (home field is counted separately).
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From Boise State's Short-yardage edge is Memphis's only real problem
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