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Arizona State

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big 12 · 13-20 · AdjEM +11.5, 78 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
+11.578 of 364
AdjO
109.395 of 364
AdjD
97.864 of 364
AdjT
71.196 of 364

Arizona State went from +2.8 (#136) on 2024-11-03 to +11.5 (#78) on 2025-04-07, peaking at +13.4 (#67) on 2025-02-24.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 33 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
51.5%138
TOV%
16.6%230
OREB%
22.1%325
FTA/FGA
36.2%78
Opp eFG%
50.7%169
Opp TOV%
15.0%254
DREB%
72.0%203
Opp FTA/FGA
31.4%136

Résumé13-20 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
+16.79 of 364
Non-conference
+10.419 of 364
Luck
+0.5%179 of 364
Wins above bubble
-4.282 of 364
Quad 1
5-14
Quad 2
3-5
Quad 3
2-1
Quad 4
3-0

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players14 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Alston MasonG3236.513.82.54.052.3%57.8%19.7%38.7%84.9%
Basheer JihadF3330.512.75.51.845.6%54.0%23.8%28.8%77.1%
Adam MillerG3029.89.82.31.957.6%59.5%16.5%42.9%75.6%
Joson SanonG2728.311.93.41.050.4%52.8%23.0%36.9%71.4%
BJ FreemanG2528.713.73.92.651.6%54.5%25.8%35.6%74.6%
Jayden QuaintanceF2429.79.47.91.554.2%53.6%18.4%18.8%47.9%
Amier AliF3219.15.53.10.847.6%51.7%15.9%32.6%71.7%
Shawn Phillips Jr.C3117.95.45.20.657.3%58.3%17.0%—60.0%
Trevor BestG1112.73.60.90.550.0%53.1%15.5%40.0%66.7%
Bobby HurleyG104.90.50.20.0100.0%86.2%3.0%—75.0%
Jordan WilliamsG70.70.30.00.0100.0%100.0%10.2%——
Quentin McCoyG60.80.00.00.00.0%0.0%10.2%——
Chianti ClayG50.80.00.20.00.0%0.0%51.0%0.0%—
Connor BraunF40.80.00.00.0——0.0%——

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games13-20

“Ours” is our projected margin for Arizona State, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-05vsIdaho StateQ4#209W 55-48+11.4
11-08nSanta ClaraQ2#59W 81-74-4.6
11-10@GonzagaQ1#7L 80-88-24.5
11-14nGrand CanyonQ2#92W 87-76-3.9
11-17vsSt. Thomas-MinnesotaQ3#121W 81-66+5.6
11-20vsCal PolyQ4#229W 93-89+16.7
11-28nNew MexicoQ1#47W 85-82-6.8
11-29nSaint Mary'sQ1#22W 68-64-6.6
12-03vsSan DiegoQ4#301W 90-53+18.6
12-14nFloridaQ1#4L 66-83-9.2
12-21nMassachusettsQ3#195W 78-62+9.8
12-31@BYUQ1#21L 56-76-10.1
01-04vsColoradoQ2#74W 81-61+2.4
01-08@KansasQ1#16L 55-74-15.4
01-11vsBaylorQ1#25L 66-72-5.7
01-14vsUCFQ2#65L 89-95+4.6
01-18@CincinnatiQ1#39L 60-67-10.7
01-21@West VirginiaQ1#51W 65-57-7.5
01-25vsIowa StateQ1#10L 61-76-10.5
01-28@ColoradoQ1#74W 70-68-1.1
02-01vsArizonaQ1#8L 72-81-8.1
02-04vsKansas StateQ2#71L 70-71+3.2
02-09@Oklahoma StateQ2#94L 73-86+2.0
02-12@Texas TechQ1#9L 106-111-14.5
02-15vsTCUQ3#80L 70-74+3.3
02-18vsHoustonQ1#2L 65-80-14.8
02-23@Kansas StateQ1#71W 66-54-3.5
02-26vsBYUQ1#21L 81-91-4.1
03-01@UtahQ1#66L 73-99-3.5
03-04@ArizonaQ1#8L 100-113-14.9
03-08vsTexas TechQ1#9L 57-85-8.7
03-11nKansas StateQ2#71L 66-71-0.6
03-31nNebraskaQ2#52L 78-86-2.3

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.