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Cal Poly

In progress. College basketball is still being built and is not in the navigation. The ratings are ours and are shown with the date they were fitted; they are not graded in public.

Big West · 15-19 · AdjEM -6.0, 229 of 364 nationally.

2024-25 seasonthrough ratings as of 2025-04-0724 weekly snapshots

Adjusted ratingas of 2025-04-07

Every team →
AdjEM
-6.0229 of 364
AdjO
104.6173 of 364
AdjD
110.6286 of 364
AdjT
76.31 of 364

Cal Poly went from -19.1 (#343) on 2024-11-03 to -6.0 (#229) on 2025-04-07, peaking at -4.6 (#212) on 2024-12-02.

AdjEM in each weekly snapshot this season; the dashed line is an average D1 team (0).

2024-11-032025-04-07

Four factorsraw season rates · 34 complete games

Leaderboards →
eFG%
55.2%29
TOV%
19.8%355
OREB%
25.5%244
FTA/FGA
26.8%333
Opp eFG%
53.2%291
Opp TOV%
17.8%70
DREB%
67.5%342
Opp FTA/FGA
32.3%163

Résumé15-19 · against the ratings of 2025-04-07

Schedule strength
-0.6151 of 364
Non-conference
+2.4116 of 364
Luck
+6.0%60 of 364
Wins above bubble
-12.8234 of 364
Quad 1
0-3
Quad 2
1-5
Quad 3
2-9
Quad 4
12-2

Quadrants use the selection committee's boundaries (Quad 1 is a home game against the top 30, a neutral one against the top 50, or a road game against the top 75) applied to our ranking, not to the NCAA's NET, so they will not match a NET team sheet game for game. Luck and wins above bubble compare the record with today's ratings; they are not a record of our projections.

Players16 who played · most minutes first

National leaders →
PlayerGMPGPPGRPGAPGeFG%TS%USG%3P%FT%
Jarred HyderG3332.914.53.53.251.8%54.0%22.9%35.5%79.7%
Owen KoonceG3530.216.94.81.860.0%63.7%24.9%40.4%88.1%
Isaac JessupG3130.711.73.52.663.1%63.8%16.1%42.8%76.0%
Peter BandeljG3525.010.44.32.352.8%60.2%18.5%32.0%80.4%
Mac RinikerG3524.99.44.62.557.9%59.0%20.2%34.2%62.2%
Guzman VasilicG3017.55.22.30.756.0%57.4%15.2%35.6%73.7%
Luka TarlacG2814.53.32.21.550.0%53.4%15.4%0.0%64.7%
Cayden WardG2316.47.43.80.848.9%52.8%24.7%34.8%76.2%
Aaron Price Jr.PF3110.74.71.90.357.1%58.9%20.3%33.3%72.0%
Ethan MenziesF269.72.41.50.752.8%53.6%14.7%31.8%62.5%
Kieran ElliottG1114.85.43.70.550.0%51.7%20.9%16.7%58.8%
Paul BizimanaF135.21.70.60.236.0%40.9%22.9%15.4%100.0%
Hayden JoryG153.90.50.50.333.3%40.2%11.4%22.2%100.0%
Logan McLaughlinG94.81.70.70.339.3%47.2%23.0%23.1%100.0%
Isaac SpearsG82.51.50.30.042.3%43.0%40.0%14.3%50.0%
Eric BrownF33.02.00.30.075.0%75.0%21.0%0.0%—

Season totals for every game played, from ESPN's statistics feed. In seasons before 2025-26 a roster can be missing a player or hold one who was elsewhere; usage is blank where the players listed do not add up to the team's minutes.

Games15-19

“Ours” is our projected margin for Cal Poly, from the snapshot dated before each game. Games before the season's first snapshot have none.

DateOpponentQuadResultOurs
11-05@San FranciscoQ1#62L 78-86-26.1
11-07@CaliforniaQ2#114L 73-91-20.1
11-14vsSeattle UQ3#145W 75-71-9.3
11-17@Eastern WashingtonQ4#267W 82-78-13.2
11-20@Arizona StateQ2#78L 89-93-16.7
11-23@Saint Mary'sQ1#22L 66-80-22.9
11-26vsGramblingQ4#322W 82-79+2.0
11-30@StanfordQ2#84W 97-90-18.0
12-05@UC DavisQ4#245L 66-77-4.3
12-07vsCal State NorthridgeQ3#142L 91-102-0.1
12-14@San José StateQ3#167L 100-107-5.0
12-17vsDenverQ4#298W 95-94+7.5
12-21@OmahaQ3#181L 82-86-1.4
01-02vsUC IrvineQ3#76L 89-98-12.4
01-04@Hawai'iQ3#227L 55-68-9.2
01-09@UC San DiegoQ1#48L 68-95-19.5
01-11vsUC Santa BarbaraQ3#137L 72-75-5.4
01-16vsUC DavisQ4#245L 54-65+2.5
01-18@UC IrvineQ2#76L 71-101-21.3
01-25vsLong Beach StateQ4#305W 78-69+4.0
01-30@Cal State BakersfieldQ4#255W 90-81-6.0
02-01@UC RiversideQ3#188L 62-80-10.2
02-06vsHawai'iQ4#227W 79-63-3.2
02-13@Cal State FullertonQ4#346W 98-83+0.5
02-15@Cal State NorthridgeQ3#142L 85-89-11.7
02-20vsUC San DiegoQ2#48L 67-81-14.0
02-22vsUC RiversideQ4#188W 112-100-2.0
02-27@UC Santa BarbaraQ3#137L 77-96-11.9
03-01vsCal State BakersfieldQ4#255W 98-72+2.5
03-06vsCal State FullertonQ4#346W 100-61+10.8
03-08@Long Beach StateQ4#305W 83-69+0.1
03-12nUC DavisQ4#245W 86-76+0.4
03-13nUC RiversideQ3#188W 96-83-4.5
03-14nUC IrvineQ2#76L 78-96-13.7

How this is measured

Ranks are out of 364 rated teams, 1 = best (for AdjD and the defensive factors, 1 = allowed the least). The four factors are raw season rates from box scores.

Every projection uses a rating snapshot dated before the game — the snapshot column shows which. A snapshot dated on or after a game already contains its result, so it is never used to project it; a game before the season's first snapshot gets no number at all. Projected margin is (this team's AdjEM − the opponent's ± home advantage) × expected possessions ÷ 100.